Largest Winter Meeting Ever

group3

The largest winter meeting of the Rogers Hornsby Chapter had a little bit of everything on Saturday, Jan. 12 – updates on the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, a statistical analysis of the psychology of umpires calling balls and strikes, the Texas League president’s perspective on his duties, a preview of the 2014 SABR convention and a review of 1840’s-era baseball in New York.

Fifty-one SABR members and guests gathered at historic Old Main on the campus of Texas State University for the seventh annual winter meeting – the largest attendance ever, including a dozen members from the Larry Dierker Chapter (Houston), which is hosting the SABR convention in Houston in 2014.

Longtime Astros broadcaster Bill Brown (pictured below) talked about his return to the television booth for the upcoming season, including his thoughts about the Astros chances in the American League West. He also brought and signed his memoir, “My Baseball Journey: A Sportcaster’s Story,” proceeds of which support the National Foundation for Ectodermal Dysplasias.

bill brown autographs

Tom Kayser, president of the Texas League (AA), talked about his activities and duties as a minor league official. He didn’t skip a beat when an unexpected power outage in Old Main darkened the windowless room on the third floor. While organizers scrambled to figure out what to do, Kayser kept the crowd entertained and answered questions about his duties. Shortly thereafter, the group relocated to a classroom with windows and continued with the meeting schedule.

Aaron Baggett, professor of psychology at the University of Mary Hardin Baylor in Belton, presented his research (co-authored with Grant Morgan of Baylor University) examining umpires’ objective and subjective tendencies when calling balls and strikes. Click here to see the presentation slides.

Connie Mack biographer and former SABR board member Norman Macht (pictured below) kicked off the meeting with another group ice-breaker activity that featured questions involving the names of vice presidents and baseball players. Macht also shared his involvement in the 150th anniversary celebration of Connie Mack’s birth in East Brookfield, Mass. To try your hand at Norman’s creative icebreaker quiz, click here or go to the Contests tab above and select “Quizzes.”

Macht

Bob Tholkes, a longtime SABR member active in the Halsey Hall Chapter in Minneapolis, traveled to Texas to avoid the harsh winter in the north. He shared his research about the New York Knickerbockers rules of baseball from the 1840s. His presentation can be viewed by clicking here.

Award-winning radio broadcaster Mike Capps of the Round Rock Express gave his assessment of players in the Texas Rangers’ farm system to watch out for in the coming year.

Bob Dorrill of the Dierker Chapter invited Hornsby Chapter members to participate and volunteer at the 2014 SABR national convention to be held in Houston. An exact date for the convention won’t be set until Major League Baseball announces the 2014 baseball schedule (expected later this year).

This was the Seventh Annual Winter Meeting held at Texas State University-San Marcos, and the sixth consecutive meeting held in Old Main, the oldest building on campus. Dr. Judy Oskam, director of the School of Journalism & Mass Communication, which is housed in Old Main, welcomed the group and shared her softball experience as a pitcher in elementary school.

Much thanks to Monte Cely, Jan Larson and Steve Fall for their hard work in preparing for the winter meeting and ensuring a smooth day on Saturday. Special thanks to “Baseball Jan” Opella for taking photos throughout the meeting, three of which are shared here. To view more photos from Baseball Jan, click here.

Special thanks also go out to those who were able to join us in San Marcos this year. If you missed us, we missed you! It’s never too early to start planning for next year’s winter meeting!

Triple Milestones – 2012

Triple Milestones – 2012

 

 

 

By Bill Gilbert

 

 

 

      Offensive production in the major leagues was mixed in 2012.  The number of runs and home runs per game both increased in 2012 after reaching 20-year lows in 2011.  Batting average was the same as in 2011 but on-base average dropped to .319, the lowest figure since the 1980s.  However slugging average increased from .399 in 2011 to .405 in 2012

 

 

 

Year  Runs/Game HR/Game  BAVG   OBA    SLG    OPS     Triple Milestone Hitters

 

—-  ——— ——-  —-   —-   —-   —     ————————

 

1990     8.51     1.58   .258  .324   .386   .710                 2

 

1991     8.62     1.61   .255  .323   .384   .707                 3

 

1992     8.23     1.44   .256  .322   .377   .699                 2

 

1993     9.20     1.78   .266  .332   .404   .736                 5

 

1994     9.85     2.07   .270  .339   .424   .763                 3

 

1995     9.69     2.02   .267  .338   .417   .755                 8

 

1996    10.07     2.19   .270  .340   .427   .767                21

 

1997     9.53     2.05   .267  .337   .419   .756                 7

 

1998     9.58     2.08   .266  .335   .420   .755                14

 

1999    10.17     2.28   .271  .345   .434   .779                19

 

2000    10.28     2.34   .271  .345   .437   .782                26

 

2001     9.55     2.25   .264  .332   .427   .759                21

 

2002     9.24     2.09   .261  .331   .417   .748                12

 

2003     9.46     2.14   .264  .332   .422   .754                 8

 

2004     9.63     2.25   .266  .335   .428   .763                12

 

2005     9.18     2.06   .265  .330   .419   .749                10

 

2006     9.72     2.22   .269  .336   .432   .768                13

 

2007     9.59     2.04   .268  .336   .423   .759                 8 

 

2008     9.30     2.01   .264  .333   .417   .750                 7

 

2009     9.23     2.02   .262  .333   .418   .751                 6

 

2010     8.77     1.90   .257  .325   .403   .728                 6

 

2011     8.57     1.87   .255  .321   .399   .720                 7

 

2012     8.64     2.03   .255  .319   .405   .724                 4

 

 

 

      Home runs were up in 2012 as several power hitters emerged.  Six players hit 40 or more home runs in 2012 compared to two in 2011. The 30 home run level was reached by 27 players in 2012 compared to 24 in 2011 and 18 in 2010. 

 

      A useful indicator for tracking offense is the number of players who hit for both power and average by achieving a .300 batting average, 30 home runs and 100 runs batted in.  A record 26 players reached all three milestones in 2000, but that figure has dropped significantly in recent years. Only four players reached all three milestones in 2012, the lowest since 1994, as 23 of the players with 30+ home runs failed to reach 100 RBIs and bat .300. Miguel Cabrera and Ryan Braun were the only players who made it in both 2011 and 2012. 

 

 

  Joining Cabrera and Braun in the .300-30-100 club were Adrian Beltre and Prince Fielder.  It was the second time for Beltre and the first time for Fielder, bringing the total to 171 players who have registered at least one .300-30-100 season starting with Babe Ruth in 1920.

 

 

 

      Following is a listing of players who achieved triple milestones in 2012.

 

 

 

Player           Times  BAVG-HR-RBI         Comments

 

American

 

Miguel Cabrera     6    .330-44-139  Won the AL Triple Crown.

 

Adrian Beltre      2    .321-36-102  Last time was in 2004.

 

Prince Fielder     1    .313-30-108  Had .299-38-120 in 2011.

 

National

 

Ryan Braun         3    .319-41-112  Also stole 30 bases..

 

 

 

 

 

      Four players achieved triple milestones in 2011 but fell short in 2012:

 

                            2011           2012

 

   Player        Times  BAVG-HR-RBI    BAVG-HR-RBI    

 

Paul Konerko       3    .300-31-105    .298-26-75

 

Jose Bautista      1    .302-43-103    .241-27-63 

 

Jacoby Ellsbury    1    .321-32-105    .271- 4-26

 

Matt Kemp          1    .324-39-126    .303-23-69

 

Troy Tulowitzki    1    .302-30-105    .287- 8-27

 

 

 

All but Konerko missed significant playing time with injuries.        

 

 

 

      Billy Butler of the Royals came close to Triple Milestones with.313-29-107.

 

 

 

      The following list contains the names of players, active in 2012, who have had multiple .300-30-100 seasons in the past but have not done it in the last three years.  Many have been limited by injuries. Some are still very productive players like David Ortiz and Matt Holliday, but not at the same level they were in their peak years.  Since this list was started in 2004, not one player has come back with another .300-30-100 season.

 

                                 Last

 

                .300-30-100  .300-30-100 

 

Player            Seasons       Season       2012     Comments

 

Alex Rodriguez       8           2008    .272-18-57   Another injury filled year.

 

Todd Helton          5           2003    .238- 7-37   Severe decline continues.

 

Chipper Jones        5           2001    .287-14-62   Still productive in final year.

 

Jason Giambi         4           2002    .225- 1- 8   Not much left.

 

Lance Berkman        3           2006    .259- 2- 7   Lost season due to injuries.

 

David Ortiz          3           2007    .318-23-60   Lone bright spot for Red Sox.

 

Mark Teixeira        3           2008    .251-24-84   Has become a .250 hitter.

 

Jim Thome            2           2002    .252- 8-25   Still adding to home run total.

 

Aramis Ramirez       2           2004    .300-27-105  Almost made it.

 

Travis Hafner        2           2006    .228-12-34   Not enough for a DH.

 

Vernon Wells         2           2006    .230-11-29   Continues to disappoint.

 

Matt Holliday        2           2007    .295-27-102  Came close in 2012.

 

Aubrey Huff          2           2008    .192- 1- 7   Looks like end of the line.

 

David Wright         2           2008    .306-21-93   Good enough for big contract.

 

 

 

      In his 1988 Baseball Abstract, Bill James referred to triple

 

milestone seasons as "Hall of Fame Seasons".  This was because all of the

 

eligible players with 5 or more triple milestone seasons had been

 

elected to the Hall of Fame.  This correlation was broken in 2011 when Juan Gonzalez and Jeff Bagwell fell short of election in their first year of eligibility.

 

 

 

            The Detroit Tigers had two players with triple milestones in 2012.  Twenty nine of the thirty major league teams have now had at least one triple milestone hitter since the year 2000. Kansas City has not had a triple milestone hitter since Danny Tartabull in 1991, but Billy Butler came close in 2012.    

 

 

 

      Five minor league players also recorded triple milestone seasons in 2012 including two who finished the season in the major leagues. 

 

 

 

Player            Team (Level)      Organization     Age   BAVG-HR-RBI  

 

 

 

Darin Ruf         Reading (AA)       Philadelphia      25   .317-38-104

 

                  Philadelphia (NL)                         .333- 3- 10

 

                                                            .318-41-114

 

 

 

Will Myers        NW Arkansas (AA)   Kansas City       21   .343-13- 30

 

                  Omaha (AAA)                               .304-24- 79

 

                                                            .307-37-109

 

 

 

Jedd Gyorko       San Antonio (AA)    San Diego        23   .262- 6- 17

 

                  Tucson                                    .328-24- 83

 

                                                            .311-30-100

 

 

 

John Lindsey      Laguna      (MEX)   Detroit          35   .341-21- 64

 

                  Toledo      (AAA)                         .270-15- 47

 

                                                            .310-36-111

 

 

 

Anthony Rizzo     Iowa       (AAA)    Chicago Cubs     22   .342-23- 62

 

                  Chicago     (NL)                          .285-15- 48

 

                                                            .310-38-110

 

     

 

      No college players achieved triple milestones in 2012             

 

      Pitchers also strive for triple milestones – 20 wins, 200 strikeouts and an ERA under 3.00. Three pitchers made it in 2012, the most since 1974, The three who made it in 2012 are:

 

 

 

Pitcher                 Wins-Strikeouts-ERA

 

 

 

Gio Gonzalez                 21-207-2.89

 

R. A. Dickey                 20-230-2.73

 

David Price                  20-205-2.56

 

 

 

 

 

Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw both made it in 2011 but fell short in wins in 2012.  The three who made it in 2012 all accomplished it for the first time.

 

 

 

      A complete list of hitters with triple milestone seasons since 1920 can be found at Baseball-Almanac, with the following link.

 

 

http://www.baseball-almanac.com/legendary/triple_milestones.shtml

Pre-Holiday Hot Stove

A small but enthusastic group of chapter members gathered at Iron Works BBQ on Thursday, December 20 for some  baseball talk, barbeque and holiday treats.

A wide-ranging assortment of baseball-related topics were covered including current topics such as the offseason acquistions by the Toronto Blue Jays, the signing of Josh Hamilton by the Angels, the trade of R. A. Dickey by the Mets and the signing of Carlos Pena by the Astros as well as topics from the past such as the Pythagorean W-L record of the ’62 Mets and the one game career of Houston Colt .45 player John Paciorek.

Monte Cely provided copies of the itinerary for the upcoming chapter Winter Meeting.  Gilbert Martinez updated the group on potential construction disruptions that may affect the Winter Meeting venue on the Texas State University campus.

A potential group outing to the Rangers – Padres exhibition game in the Alamo Dome in San Antonio scheduled for March 30, 2013 was also discussed.  More information will be forthcoming as the date approaches.

The monthly meeting for January will be the annual Winter Meeting.  We encourage all chapter members to attend.

Thanks to Monte Cely (more specfically his wife, Linda) for supplying the assortment of desserts for the December meeting.

December Meeting

We will be gathering at Iron Works BBQ located at 100 Red River in downtown Austin on Thursday, December 20 starting at 6:00 p.m. 

There is a small parking lot on-site, a larger lot on the south side of Cesar Chavez plus large pay lots across the street to the east.  Please RSVP to Jan Larson at jan.a.larson@gmail.com if you plan to attend.

Book Review – Cuban Star

Cuban Star

How One Negro-League Owner Changed the Face of Baseball
 
by Adrian Burgos, Jr.
 
A Baseball Book Review
Monte Cely
(512) 310-9777
                                               
            Cuban Star is the story of Alejandro “Alex” Pompez, a baseball Hall-of-Famer who played major roles in the Negro Leagues and in the integration of major league baseball.
 
            Pompez was born in 1890 in Key West, Florida to immigrants who had fled the Spanish colonial regime in Cuba. Pompez’ father was active in the fight for Cuban independence, and this book explains the importance of “beisbol” as a symbol of the resistance struggle against the Spanish and as a means of raising funds to support the 1890’s revolution.
 
            Pompez lived in Key West and in Tampa before moving to Harlem as a young man. He built a business empire that included “running the numbers” as well as promoting sporting events, including his New York “Cubans” ball club. He was instrumental in bringing many darker-skinned Latinos into the Negro Leagues. As integration gradually destroyed the Negro leagues in the late 40’s to early 50’s, Pompez re-invented himself as a “super-scout” for the New York/SF Giants. In that role, he served as both recruiter and mentor for the first wave of dark-skinned Latins joining organized baseball.
 
            This book paints a story of baseball integration that is very different from the well-known version featuring Jackie Robinson and Branch Rickey. Alex Pompez was at the center of that integration story, especially as it involved the Dominicans, Puerto Ricans and Cubans that entered baseball in the 1950-60s. It’s a compelling and informative story that should be of interest to SABR members.        
 
Here are the key statistics:
 
Book: Cuban Star – How One Negro-League Owner Changed the Face of Baseball
 
Author:  Adrian Burgos, Jr.
 
Author’s Credentials: Burgos is a professor of history at the University of Illinois. His previous book on baseball is Playing America’s Game: Baseball, Latinos and the Color Line. His work has also been featured in The New York Times and the Chicago Tribune, as well as on ESPN. 
 
Published: 2011, Hill and Wang; ISBN: 978-0-8090-9479-0.
 
Length: 302 pages.
 
Price: Retail list – $28.00; Online – from $2.00 (used) + shipping.

Seventh Annual Winter Meeting

Society for American Baseball Research
ROGERS HORNSBY CHAPTER
Seventh Annual WINTER MEETING
 
at TEXAS STATE UNIVERSITY
OLD MAIN BUILDING, ROOM 320
San Marcos, Texas
 
SATURDAY, JANUARY 12, 2013
9:30 a.m. – 4:00 p.m.
 
 
THE LINEUP (in alphabetical order):
 
AARON BAGGETT & GRANT MORGAN – will present their research on umpire ball/strike behavior.
 
BILL BROWN – Houston Astros broadcaster and author of My Baseball Journey: A Sportscaster’s Story.  More info on Bill and his book are at www.mybaseballjourney.com
 
MIKE CAPPS – Director of Broadcasting for the Round Rock Express – AAA affiliate of the Texas Rangers.
 
BOB DORRILL – will update us on plans for the 2014 SABR Convention to be held in Houston
 
TOM KAYSER – President of the AA Texas League
 
NORMAN MACHT – noted author and storyteller extraordinaire will deliver the baseball quiz and tell us about Connie Mack’s 150th anniversary celebration, at which Norman was a featured guest.
 
JUDY OSKAM – Director of the School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Texas State University
 
BOB THOLKES – will present his research on base ball in the 1840s thru the Civil War.
 
 
We’ll also have our usual features:
 
LUNCH – register upon arrival and sign up for your lunch choices; it’ll be delivered — all for a nominal charge.  NOTES – we must have your lunch order by 10am in order to get delivery by noontime; we can only accept cash.
 
BOOK EXCHANGE – members are encouraged to bring a baseball book to exchange.
 
MEMORABILIA DISPLAY – there is scheduled time after lunch for memorabilia owners to describe & discuss.
 
DRESS CODE – wearing your favorite team’s cap, jersey, or sportswear is always encouraged.
 

Contact any member of the organizing committee if you have any questions or need more info:

Gilbert Martinez : gmartinez46@austin.rr.com

Monte Cely : cely@swbell.net

Jan Larson : jan.a.larson@gmail.com

Steve Fall :  sportsresource@mindspring.com

COME EARLY, STAY LATE, HAVE FUN ! 

The meeting will be on the third floor in the Old Main building on the Texas State University campus. Look for the elevator on the first floor, or use the stairs. Here’s a photo of Old Main:

 
 
Directions to Texas State University-San Marcos
 
If you’re traveling north from San Antonio, take I-35 and take Exit 206, Aquarena Springs Drive.
 
If you’re traveling south from Austin, take I-35 and take Exit 206, Aquarena Springs Drive.
 
Travel west on Aquarena Springs Drive, which turns into University Drive. After crossing the San Marcos River, you will come to a traffic light. Turn right onto Sessom Drive. Just before the first light, turn left on State Street and go up a steep road toward Old Main. Go through a gate (the gate should be up) and continue up the hill. At the top of the hill, make a sharp left turn and drive up to Old Main. Look for parking on this road that winds around the side and back of Old Main.
 
You can find additional parking at the Pleasant Street Garage, located at the corner of N. LBJ and Pleasant Street. To reach this garage, after you pass through the gate, continue up the hill, then down the hill to the stop sign on Pleasant Street. Turn left; the entrance to the parking garage will be on your left.
 
You do not need a parking pass to park on campus – however, do not park in spaces not marked as parking spaces or in handicapped parking (unless you have the appropriate tag displayed).
 
The meeting room is on the third floor in Room 320. There is an elevator on the first floor, or you can take the stairs.
 
If you get lost or need help, call Gilbert Martinez (cell phone: 512-963-1263).
 
Use this link to see a Googe map showing the Texas State campus in relation to I-35:
 
Use this link to see a closer view of Old Main and the campus:

 

Hot Stove chatter and BBQ

Eight members enjoyed barbeque in downtown Austin while discussing the announcement of various baseball awards.

Jan Larson pitched a fun quiz focusing on prominent players and plays throughout baseball history, holding the group to high expectations. Tom Thayer took first prize, a Tim Kurkjian book, while Jim Baker placed second and took home a Dusty Baker toothpick-holder bobble-head. Click here to try your hand at the quiz, or go to the Contests tab above.

Discussions also included initial reaction to the latest franchise fire sale of the Miami Marlins franchise, the Silver Slugger Awards, the prospect of an Ozzie Guillen-Bobby Valentine talk show, the National League and American League Managers of the Year, and Brian Kenny’s Clubhouse Confidential show on MLB Network.

This was the 72nd consecutive month that the chapter has met. In December, we seek to tie Barry Bonds’ single-season home run record of 73.

The next meeting will be at 6 p.m. Thursday, Dec. 20, at Iron Works BBQ in downtown Austin.

Moments in Time

Moments in Time

by Jan Larson

Presented at chapter meeting November 13, 2012

(Move the mouse over the blank space to see the answer)
1. This New York Giants outfielder hit the “shot heard ‘round the world” in 1951

Bobby Thomson

2. This Brooklyn Dodgers pitcher gave up the “shot heard ‘round the world” in 1951 Ralph Branca
3. Name the Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder that hit a pinch hit, walk off home run off a future Hall of Fame reliever to win Game One of the 1988 World Series. Kirk Gibson
4. Name the Hall of Fame reliever that gave up the home run in Q3 Dennis Eckersley
5. This outfielder scored the game tying run in the bottom of the ninth of Game One of the 1988 World Series Mike Davis
6. The New York Yankees outfielder “call his shot” before homering in Game Three of the 1932 World Series Babe Ruth
7. This Chicago Cubs pitcher served up the “called shot.” Charlie Root
8. Name the little-used reserve catcher whose two out, ninth inning single drove in the tying and winning runs in Game Seven of the 1992 NLCS Francisco Cabrera
9. Name the player that scored the tying run on the hit in Q8 David Justice
10. Nolan Ryan struck out this future Hall-of-Famer for the final out of his seventh career no-hitter on May 1, 1990 Roberto Alomar
11.

The Yankees Roger Maris hit his 61st home run of the 1961 season off this Red Sox pitcher

Tracy Stallard
12. Who was the 3’7” player that pinch hit for the St. Louis Browns in 1951?
Eddie Gaedel
13. Who was the Tigers’ pitcher that walked the player in Q12 on four pitches?
Bob Cain
14. This Braves reliever struck out Pete Rose for the final out in the game that broke Rose’s NL record 44 game hitting streak Gene Garber
15. Name the Red Sox catcher whose twelfth inning, walk off homerun won Game Six of the 1975 World Series
Carlton Fisk
16. Name the Reds’ pitcher that gave up the homerun in Q15 Pat Darcy
17. This Red Sox outfielder’s home run in the tenth inning of Game Six of the 1986 World Series gave the Sox a short-lived lead over the New York Mets Dave Henderson
18. Name the player that scored the winning run in the bottom of the tenth inning of Game Six of the 1986 World Series Ray Knight
19. Name the player that scored the winning run from first on an eleventh inning double in the Mariners’ 6-5 over the Yankees in Game Five of the 1995 ALDS Ken Griffey, Jr.
20. Name the winning pitcher in the game in Q19 Randy Johnson
21. This Pirates’ pitcher tossed twelve perfect innings but lost in the 13th in a game at Milwaukee in 1959 Harvey Haddix
22. Name the winning pitcher in the game in Q21 Lew Burdette
23.

This outfielder homered off an “eephus” pitch in the 1946 All-Star game

Ted Williams
24. This pitcher threw the eephus pitch in Q23 Rip Sewell
25. This Cubs catcher hit the walk off “homer in the gloamin’” to defeat the Pirates in 1938 Gabby Hartnett
Tie Breaker How many runners were on base when Henry Aaron hit his 715th career home run on April 8, 1974?  If there were one or more, name those players 1, Darrell Evans