September lunch meeting on the 20th and a second option farther south

First, a belated Happy Labor Day to all, I hope you fared better than Jordan Hudson’s boyfriend (way to go, TCU, and yes, please, ESPN, let Peter do more of blowout broadcasts). In other chapter news, we’re thinking of Bailey Hall (and mom and dad) as she has officially begun her adventure as a Badger in Madison.

Five months of the MLB season are in the books, and right now the Brewers and Tigers look to have things in hand for the postseason. The rest of the field remains competitive, with the Mets holding the final spot in the NL over the Reds and Giants, and the Mariners with a slimmer margin in the AL over the Rangers and Royals. As many point out, it’s not a pennant race anymore, but a scrum to get into the field and see what happens.

Jim Baker reminds us that the Hornsby Postseason Tourney is coming up, open to all in the chapter, not just Predictatron participants. Jim’s contest deftly sidesteps the Wild Card chaos and opens with the known Division Series opponents.

We’re embarking on an experiment in the coming weeks, offering two options for lunch – members and guests are welcome to attend either or both dates.

  • We’ll be back at the Hurricane Grill & Wings (2701 Parker Drive, D-200, Round Rock) on Saturday, September 20th at 1 pm. For a group our size, we make reservations with the restaurant, so we’ve opened a mobile-friendly RSVP form for you to let us know you’ll be there and how many folks are with you.
  • We’ll also be in San Antonio soon – I’m looking at Saturday, October 4th at Willie’s Grill & Ice House in Schertz, and will announce that via the Google Group when we get closer to that date.

Here’s the link to RSVP for the 20th in Round Rock. Please let us know by Wednesday, September 17th if you’ll be there.

Book author recounts best, unlikeliest no-hitters at August meeting

August 2025 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

Thirteen chapter members and guests were treated to a deep dive about the pitchers who have thrown no-hitters and the catchers who caught them throughout MLB history at the August chapter meeting on Zoom.

Kevin Hurd, a member of the SABR Banks-Bragan Chapter in Dallas-Fort Worth and retired U.S. Air Force lieutenant colonel, has long been intrigued by no-hitters. In fact, as a high school senior, he witnessed San Francisco Giants pitcher Ed Halicki’s no-hitter at Candlestick Park in 1975, which, in part, inspired him to research and write about no-hit games.

After retirement, he’s devoted four years to writing and publishing two volumes called “From Randy Johnson to Dallas Braden: No Hitters Beyond the Box Score.” His books addressed things he was curious about, such as whether no-hitters were attributable to skill or luck (his conclusion: both). He was also interested in examining no-hitters by eventual Hall of Fame pitchers and journeymen who were among the unlikeliest pitchers to author a no-hit gem.

His book includes descriptions of no-hit games, interviews with pitchers and catchers and informational tables to offer insight into these games.

In Volume I, he assesses the greatest no-hitters in history. In Volume II, he identifies the most unlikely no-hitters of all time.

For the Hornsby Chapter, he included a brief discussion and lists of no-hitters by Astros and Rangers pitchers.

See below for a recording of his presentation:

Hurd’s books are available at local bookstores and online sellers. For more information about Volume I: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DHYHBQ5W

For more information about Volume II: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DHYP3J46

Many thanks to Kevin for joining us for our August meeting!

Baseball memories program seeks volunteers, baseball props for sessions

By Larry Rice

Fellow SABR Members,

Do you have any old baseball gear or equipment sitting idle in your garage or attic?  Do you enjoy browsing at garage sales, yard sales or estate sales?

As you may be aware, several Hornsby Chapter members are associated with the SABR Baseball Memories program and, in particular, I volunteer with other Hornsby Chapter members to provide monthly presentations and visits to veterans with long-term mental and physical disabilities at the VA facilities in Kerrville and San Antonio (Audie Murphy).  These visits are very enjoyable and therapeutic to both volunteers and patients.

For use in these presentations, I’m interested in obtaining some used (as in low/no cost) baseball gear to use as “show and tell” items.  Letting these vets hold, grip, touch and see some of these items can be powerful memory motivators and bring back thoughts and joys of a simpler, happier time in their lives and – if able – they usually want to tell you all about it, a great way to gain some social interaction.

If you have or obtain any such items that you would be willing to donate and think I might be interested in, feel free to contact me at ukisno1@gmail.com.  I’ll be out of the country until mid-August and still putting thoughts together about the fall programs, so there’s no immediate rush; I just wanted to make you aware of this opportunity.

Speaking of opportunities, there’s also plenty of opportunity to participate in the visits as well.  If you live in the Kerrville/San Antonio and surrounding areas and wish more information, just let me know at the email address above and I’ll be glad to send you more information.

Next meeting: Sept. 20

Join us for the next monthly chapter meeting at 1 p.m. Saturday, Sept. 20, at Hurricane Grill & Wings (2701 Parker Dr. in Round Rock).

Looking ahead, please save Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026, for the 20th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting! We’re planning another fun day of baseball chatter at Texas State University.

August virtual meeting examines no-hitters with author Kevin Hurd

We’ve made it past the trade deadline of the 2025 season, and our favorite teams fall somewhere on the spectrum of buying with both hands, filling one or two specific needs, standing pat or close to it, or tossing in the towel. And I’m still recovering from last night’s gigantic WHEEEEEE the Rockies put on the Pirates, a flashback to late-inning (and some earlier-inning) Coors Field magic of seasons past.

Which brings us to this month’s meeting, a virtual Zoom affair featuring author Kevin Hurd. On August 24, 1975, Ed Halicki spun a no-hitter pitching for the Giants at home against the Mets. Halicki, with a lifetime record of 55-66, is proof that no-hitters do not always come from elite pitchers – and that got a young Hurd, who was in the stands at Candlestick that day, thinking about the accomplishment.

After retiring from a 20-year career in the USAF as a navigator on RC-135s and KC-135s, his interest in the lore rekindled in 2014 with no-hitter feats from Tim Lincecum and Clayton Kershaw. Finally, in March 2020, with a pandemic just starting and his security job at the Western Currency Facility in Fort Worth just ending, a friend suggested turning his passion for no-hitters into a book. The result is a two-volume effort titled “From Randy Johnson to Dallas Braden: No-Hitters Beyond the Box Score,” available on Amazon.

Hurd documents 23 no-hitters with a unique perspective, looking at what went on around each game with first-hand accounts from many people who made baseball history. A twist to Hurd’s work is that he interviews not only the pitchers who accomplished the feat, but also others, including the catcher behind the plate. (I’ll be curious to see if Hurd talked to our old friend Robby Hammock, who my daughter got to know a bit as manager of the Missoula Osprey in 2013.)

Chapter commissioner Gilbert Martinez will interview Kevin Hurd live, and the event promises to be a WHEEEEEE for the Hornsby Chapter and our SABR friends around the country. We hope you can join us online on Saturday, August 9, starting at 2 p.m. CDT. Register for the Zoom at the following link. See you there!

SABR Hornsby Chapter – August 2025 Meeting

Sod Poodles blank Missions on breezy night at the Wolff

July 2025 Newsletter
By Gilbert D. Martinez

Twenty chapter members and guests enjoyed a breezy San Antonio evening on Saturday that was less comfortable for the hometown San Antonio Missions, which got blanked 5-0 by the Amarillo Sod Poodles.

The Missions, the Double-A affiliate of the San Diego Padres, were down 4-0 after five innings and were shut down by the Sod Poodles, the Double-A affiliate of the Arizona Diamondbacks, limiting the Missions to just two hits all night. Some of us stuck around after the game for an impressive fireworks display.

SABR 53 Reflections

(Chapter members Eric Bynum and Brenden Gilbreath gave research presentations at SABR 53 in Dallas last month. I asked them to share a little bit about their research and how the presentations went for them. Congratulations to them both! See their reflections below.)

By Eric Bynum

First, thank you, Gilbert, for the opportunity to share my story. My research presentation was on the controversy of the 1914 Texas League Pennant. As I was writing my article on the 1953-54 Waco Pirates of the Big State League for the journal, I came across a 1953 newspaper article on the 1914 controversy. In the article, writer Jinx Tucker mentioned how the Houston Buffaloes stole the title from the Waco Navigators. That was interesting to me but when he said they tried to play a tripleheader that day, I knew I had to research more. And so, for weeks, I dove into the archives of newspapers from Houston, Corpus Christi, Waco and more trying to piece together what really happened that day.

In a shortened version of the story, Houston apparently slow played the second game of a doubleheader. Yes, no tripleheader was scheduled, so the game would be called due to darkness. With that game incomplete, it gave the title to Houston by mere percentage points. Multiple teams protested, and the league president did something I have never seen before: he threw out games. He threw out the first games of doubleheaders that were seven innings. This led to a tie between Waco and Houston for the title. Now, there is still some controversy as to what went down, and there were some other accusations even before the final weekend of the season of gamblers and impropriety, but those may all be lost to history now.

As for the presentation itself, I was extremely nervous. I am a teacher by trade, and I am used to standing in front of teenagers all day long. But put me in front of adults, and I am a nervous wreck. Dan Wallach, who happened to be recording the event, was the one who really calmed me down beforehand. So, huge thanks to him. Looking back, the only thing I would do differently was look up once in awhile and engage more with the audience. I was nervous so my head was down reading my script most of the time, and I feel like I missed out on those connections. If you teach, you know what I mean. All the feedback was positive, and hearing I did well from total strangers was the boost I needed and greatly appreciated.

As for what might come next, there are a few things. I really want to write a book about the history of baseball in Waco (where I live) and Temple (where I grew up). There are some interesting stories from old minor league baseball teams that played here in the 1940s, 1950s and even back to the early 1900s. The research will continue, but now I am anxiously waiting to hear where next year’s convention will be because I want to give another presentation. And a huge shoutout to Don Dingee for arriving just in time to take some photos of me. I truly appreciate that.

By Brenden Gilbreath

I had an absolute blast speaking at SABR 53 last month. It is an opportunity that I cherished and only knew about through my first meeting with the chapter back in February. I applied for an oral presentation at SABR 53 right after that meeting, which I was honored to be invited to speak at. 

As I talked about during our first meeting, my presentation came from a law review article that I wrote this past year, my second year at Texas Tech Law. I started that process back in August 2024 with the help of Sean Gibson and the Negro League Family Alliance. With the help of the NLFA and the folks at Texas Tech Law, I was able to get it published with the Estate Planning & Community Property Law Journal and the Texas Entertainment & Sports Law Journal. 

It all could have stopped right there, and I would have been incredibly proud of the product I put together and the work that went into it. Whenever this chapter mentioned the oral presentations at SABR 53, I thought it would be the perfect capstone to a project that had taught me so much about baseball, the law, and introduced me to many great people. However, as I started working on the presentation to prepare, I realized I had become much more invested in this proposal than I had originally believed. 

I believe the presentation itself went well, or I guess it must have to get an honorable mention for best presentation, though it sped by in my mind. I enjoyed every bit of it; from the time I introduced myself as a small-town cowhand who loved baseball and somehow got into law school to the moment I thanked the NFLA and Rogers Hornsby Chapter for their immense help in this project. I was fortunate to meet some great people who provided great feedback, including an invitation to give the presentation again to the Elysian Fields SABR Chapter in New Jersey. 

Perhaps the greatest compliment was from Sean Gibson, who, even though he wasn’t there, reached out to me directly after my presentation about the great feedback that he had received back in Pittsburgh. While I had thought of this as a capstone to what was a big undertaking, feedback from Mr. Gibson and those at SABR 53 has made me want to take it up again. I am looking forward to the reception after its publication in the fall and hope to get this proposal that I believe can do some real good for people to more ears in the right places. 

Next meeting

Join us at 2 p.m. Saturday, Aug. 9, for a presentation on Zoom by Kevin Hurd, a member of the SABR Banks-Bragan Chapter (Dallas-Fort Worth), and author of “From Randy Johnson to Dallas Braden: No-hitters Beyond the Box Score: Volume I” (2024).

Growing up outside of San Francisco, he’s an avid San Francisco Giants fan and recalls witnessing Ed Halicki’s no-hitter at Candlestick Park in 1975, which, in part, inspired him to write this book after a distinguished career in the U.S. Air Force.

Learn more about Hurd and his research about no-hitters at the August meeting. To register for the August meeting, please click on this link: https://txstate.zoom.us/meeting/register/gp2pvzVfQz2lyvYdsLXqJw 

July meeting coming to the Wolff, trivia team on SABR53 podium

Greetings, Hornsbyites. We bring news regarding trivia at SABR53 and our upcoming July meeting. This month, we’ll be heading to Wolff Stadium on Saturday, July 19 at 7:05 p.m. when the Missions host the Amarillo Sod Poodles. We’ve scoped out Section 204 for a block of seats in rows R, S, T, and U, seats 1-6, listed at $26.52 each. Please purchase your tickets directly from the Missions website (link below goes directly to Section 204) as soon as possible to secure a seat in this block. We’re looking forward to seeing everyone there!

Sod Poodles vs Missions, Sat, July 19, 2025, 7:05 p.m.

Now, for highlights from our chapter participation in last week’s SABR53 conference. I counted 15 heads from the Hornsby Chapter at the Westin in Irving, including four presenters: Eric Bynum, John Fredland, new member Brenden Gilbreath, and Ira Siegel. We also stormed the new-format trivia contest, which featured three competitions: team trivia, individual trivia, and Immaculate Feud (a mashup of Immaculate Grid and Family Feud, with 5-person teams using Baseball Reference questions and data from the last eight months for responses).

Several of our members attempted the insanely hard written questions in the preliminary round of the individual competition, with none advancing. The Hornsby Team, consisting of Mike Lassman, Jim Baker, Cy Morong, and Eric Bynum, took on the 40-question written-response team preliminary on Thursday, where the top team scored 24. The top six, plus ties, advanced, and we scored 18 points in a tie for the last spots. In the eight-team semifinal with 40 more questions, we placed a solid second with 20 points.

The final team trivia round shifted to a live Jeopardy format on Saturday night. The board presented six categories: Mascot Names, That Sounds Familiar, Numbers Game, Cy Young Colleges, Rookies of the Year, and Texas Trades. With Cy, Jim, and Mike firing first, we took an early lead before the ringers on the other team (all-stars from the individual competition!) got going. Mid-game, Eric dominated the Texas Trades category to mount a comeback. Still, as the board emptied, we fell behind (OMG, 2002 NL RoY Jason Jennings and mascot Dinger were two answers), lacking enough points to close the gap with their correct final Jeopardy answer of Ugueth Urbina as a double-unique name no other player has. It was a valiant effort and a fantastic runner-up achievement, nonetheless, in a highly competitive field.

Here are a few more photos I caught of our folks at SABR53.

Our presenters received kudos for their strong presentations from the judges, and everyone I spoke to had a great time at the conference – still, I’m glad to be home. See you all soon.

 

 

Split-screen June baseball chatter with friends new and old

June 2025 Newsletter

by Don Dingee

A highlight of June baseball for me is always the split-screen action from the NCAA Men’s College Baseball regionals, with many games unfolding simultaneously in various locations across the country. The Hornsby chapter applied the split-screen concept for June, with meetings held over meals on consecutive weekends in San Antonio and Austin.

Our June 7 meet-and-greet lunch gathering at Stone Werks in The Vineyard (left image above), on the north edge of San Antonio, highlighted the analytics and historical storytelling aspects of SABR. Scott Lopez (with his wife, Britany, who was sporting an AAGPBL jersey), who holds level 1, 2, and 3 SABR Analytics Certification, swapped ideas with Cy Morong. Across the table, John Fredland, chair of the SABR Games Project, and Bob Windham shared some of their favorite stories. There was also a vigorous conversation between Steve Braccini and Mike Lassman on the finer points of two popular baseball board games, Strat-O-Matic and APBA.

Our official monthly chapter meeting on June 14 (right image above) drew a bit larger crowd to Rudy’s Country Store and BBQ on Loop 360 in Austin. For the first hour, over choices of breakfast burritos and brisket plates around the table, the baseball chatter among the 15 members present became fascinating. Conversations I overheard spanned topics including what’s right with the Astros, what’s still wrong with the Cubs despite their improvement, and the age-old debate among those growing up in or near New York City over being a Mets fan or a Yankees fan, but never both.

Best dressed for the day went to Cy Morong, who wore a White Sox-emblazoned Hawaiian shirt. We also welcomed long-time SABR member Dick Butler, who joined us from Boerne, sharing some of his White Sox stories. (Dick is also an APBA aficionado – maybe there’s a demo or even a tournament in our future.) Nicole Bryan brought some of her family’s memorabilia, including a Colt .45s game program and a signed ball, along with a Ty Cobb game-used baseball and a  tin container miniature of the Astrodome. This commemorative miniature used to contain confetti samples from the final game, lost during a hush-hush incident involving parental housecleaning.

Ryan Pollack prepared and emceed the quiz, which featured a theme of breakfast and food-related names in baseball. The winner was Dan Walsh (note his use of a pencil) with 14 out of 17 correct answers, and runner-ups Ira Siegel and Tom Thayer (playing with a surgically repaired wrist) with 13 each. Dan received a copy of “Rickey” by Howard Bryant for his showing. Tom Wancho is also recuperating from his Spring Training voyage mishap; thanks to Jim Baker for providing Tom a lift so he could join us.

You can test your knowledge on this quiz in its original form. 

Or, you can slide into the answer key, with correct answers in bold.

Contest updates and member perspectives

While I’m pinch-hitting for chapter commissioner Gilbert Martinez in this month’s newsletter, we heard from Gilbert in real time as we met in Austin with a multicultural baseball perspective from his hotel in Japan. We also have the latest updates on our chapter contests, Predictatron and Awardatron. I must note that my picks in Awardatron have eerily foreshadowed UCL tears in two consecutive seasons: Spencer Strider for NL CY last year and Jackson Jobe for AL RoY this year. For participants with similar issues involving injured players or underperforming picks, Ryan’s next update will provide instructions on making one adjustment to a pick with a half-off points penalty.

Remembering Mr. Pro Baseball, Shigeo Nagashima
by Gilbert D. Martinez
Chapter Commissioner

For as long as I can remember, my parents had a signature-stamped baseball of Yomiuri Giants great Shigeo Nagashima. I had long admired it, though I couldn’t read the name written in Japanese.

Arriving to Tokyo with my Texas State students for a study abroad program on June 3, I was saddened to learn that Nagashima, also known as Mr. Giants and Mr. Pro Baseball, had passed away that day. He and his teammate, Giants legend and home run king Sadaharu Oh, formed the ON (Oh-Nagashima) power attack, leading the Giants to nine straight Japan Series victories from 1965 to 1973.

He won five MVP awards with a .305 average, 444 home runs, .379 OBP and .540 slugging for his career.

After retiring as a player in 1974, he managed the Giants from 1975 to 1980 and again from 1993 to 2001, winning the Japan Series in 1994 and 2000.

His death made for front-page news in The Yomiuri Shimbun and The Sankei Shimbun, among others.

Do you have a cool baseball story that happened to you this season? Want to share it with your friends in the Hornsby Chapter and beyond? This may be perfect for you! Please reach out to Gilbert D. Martinez (gmartinez46@mac.com) with a brief description of your cool baseball story (write in first-person and limit your story to no more than 300 words, please) and accompanying photo if available.

 

Predictatron Update: Back In the Black
by Jim Baker
[Note: Jim shared this Predictatron update with the Hornsby Google Group on June 11, 2025.]

There is much better news on the scoring front this time around as only three players were in the red on the week and we averaged a median increase of 13 points each.

Sadly for our previous leader Team Hall, they were one of those three and lost the most ground to the tune of 11 points. This cost them the overall lead and the lead in the Brian Rogers Division, which has been regained by Mr. Gay. The overall lead, however, is now in the hands of rookie sensation Mr. Windham.

Our Player of the Week is Mr. Pollack and his 24 points. This raised him up from sixth to fourth in the Eric Robinson Division. Don’t look now, but Defending Champion Mr. Rogers is not too far off the track for a repeat. Here are the top five scores:

719 Bob Windham
717 Scott Gay
712 Brian Rogers
709 Team Hall
707 Ryan Pollack

Our scores would all be a lot higher had the Braves not gone winless. After a terrible start, they had battled back to decency only to completely go into the tank again. We are now down 23 points to them, the second-worst in the contest.

Through games of Sunday, June 8, or 40.2 percent of the 2025 season:

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

Last

^/v

prev

move

1

Scott Gay

717

 

708

9

2

1

2

Brian Rogers

712

5

703

9

3

1

3

Team Hall

709

8

720

-11

1

-2

4

Ryan Pollack*

707

10

683

24

6

2

5

Kevin Barnes

695

22

698

-3

4

-1

6

Gilbert Martinez

693

24

676

17

9

3

7

John Rechtorovic

693

24

679

14

8

1

8

Jim Baker

692

25

688

4

5

-3

9

Tom Wancho

686

31

672

14

11

2

10

Don Dingee

685

32

683

2

6

-4

11

Syd Polk

677

50

674

3

10

-1

12

Mike McNulty

658

69

654

4

12

0

 

*Player of the Week

         

 

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

Last

^/v

prev

move

1

Bob Windham

719

 

700

19

1

0

2

Dan Walsh

704

15

689

15

3

1

3

Mike Dillon

701

18

686

15

4

1

4

Raeanne Martinez

697

22

676

21

6

2

5

Frank Rechtorovic

695

24

682

13

5

0

6

Jerry Miller

692

26

692

0

2

-4

7

Mike Harrell

688

31

670

18

7

0

8

Eric Robinson

686

33

665

21

9

1

8

Jan Larson

686

33

670

16

7

-1

10

Ira Siegel

666

53

665

1

9

-1

11

Gary McIntosh

656

63

636

20

13

2

12

Chris Crombar

652

67

642

10

12

0

13

Michael Bass

651

68

652

-1

11

-2

 

Awardatron Update #2
by Ryan Pollack
[Note: Ryan shared this second Awardatron update of the season with the email list on May 26, 2025.]

Ahoy mateys!!  We’re about 2 months through the baseball season. It’s time to check in on our Awardatron … awards.

AL MVP
Favorites: Judge, Witt Jr, Cal Raleigh

Raleigh is breaking out at age 28. He set a career high in WAR with 5.4 last year, and this year he’s up to 3.0 already. He’s cut his strikeouts a tad but has boosted his walk rate to a superlative 15%. That’s happening because of his massive power spike — .577 SLG, highest by far in his career if it sticks — and Raleigh’s willingness to take pitches and not chase. He’s barreling a crazy 22.5% of balls and has already socked 17 HR, halfway to his career high total of 34 last year and we’re not even in June yet. He’s doing all this while maintaining above-average defense behind the plate. This isn’t just luck, either – his .277 BABIP is normal, and his xWOBA of .394 is only slightly behind of his actual wOBA of .404.

NL MVP
Favorites: Ohtani, Tatis Jr., Betts

Ohtani had a .405 wOBA in March & April, and I thought — ah he’s kinda starting off a little slowly. He hit a mere 7 home runs with a .287 average, after all. Ho hum. In May he’s been more Ohtani-like, banging 11 HR so far and hitting .304 for a wOBA of .457. That’s more like it. And oh yeah — remember he’s still supposed to pitch sometime this year, too. 

AL Cy Young
Favorites: Skubal, Fried, Crochet

It pains me to write positive things about any Yankee, but Max Fried is having a very good year in the Bronx. Now, he isn’t as good as his 1.29 ERA might indicate. He is stranding an absurd amount of runners and benefiting from a crazy-low .246 BABIP. He will regress this year; mark my words. But he’s definitely keeping runs off the board and Cy Young voters love that. And he has ticked up his K rate while vastly lowering his walk rate, so his improvement isn’t all a mirage. It’s the same old Max honestly, just this time with some really great luck to start the year out.  

NL Cy Young
Favorites: Wheeler, Webb, Skenes

Webb, on the other hand, seemingly has found another level. He’s running a career-high 26.9% K rate alongside his usual low walk rate (5.8%). He’s keeping hitters off balance — just a 4.9% barrel rate. And he’s doing it while suffering from a .341 BABIP. But they’re mostly singles. He’s been good-to-great for most of his career, showing pieces of the puzzle before, but this year they’re coming together more.

AL ROY
Favorites: Jacob Wilson, Carlos Narvaez, Will Warren

Narvaez is a 26 year old rookie catcher for the Red Sox. The age should be a giveaway that big things aren’t expected of him. So while he is mashing the ball with a .372 wOBA, it should be noted his BABIP is a sky-high .372 and his xWOBA is .339. These numbers scream ‘regression’. That said, it doesn’t mean he’s terrible. He’s got a little thump in his bat, with 5 HR and 10 doubles so far, he’s walking at an above-average rate (9.5%), and his strikeouts aren’t crazy high either. So he has the potential to be quite good despite the regression, especially considering he’s a catcher. 

NL ROY
Favorites: Drake Baldwin, Chad Patrick, Ben Casparius

Casparius is a reliever and spot starter for the Dodgers. He’s got a great strikeout rate, but what catches my eye is his minuscule 4.5% walk rate. His Statcast page is lit up with high percentile rates: 89th percentile expected ERA, 89th percentile average exit velo, 97th percentile hard-hit rate — the list goes on. He’s got a lot of row to hoe if he wants to win ROY over a position player, and he may yet suffer the curse of being on the Dodgers’ staff (where they are apparently trying to push the limit of just how many pitchers they can break, and by how much) but he seemingly has the stuff to do it. 

AL Manager of the Year
Favorites: Hinch, Boone, Baldelli

Rocco Baldelli would be an interesting one here. The Twins were slightly favored to win the division to start the year, but it was a toss-up. They looked dead to start the year but then reeled off a 13-game winning streak to climb right back in the race. Hinch is the clear favorite in my opinion, but if the Tigers slip and the Twins get in, maybe Baldelli has a shot. 

NL Manager of the Year
Favorites: Counsell, Mendoza, Melvin

The Giants have scuffled somewhat but had a strong start to the season. They’ve got Logan Webb on the mound and Jung-Hoo Lee, Matt Chapman, and Heliot Ramos on the diamond. If they can hang around, and maybe if Willy Adames can figure out how to hit in Oracle Park, maybe they can hang around and make the postseason. If they can do that, look for Bob Melvin to finish on the podium.  

 

SABR 53 is just over the horizon

The Hornsby Chapter will be well-represented in DFW for SABR 53, with an anticipated 13 members attending on various schedules. Of note are Eric Bynum’s presentation (scroll down to RP08 on the agenda) on a controversy surrounding the 1914 Waco Navigators, who had to share the Texas League championship that season, on Thursday, June 26, at 11:30 a.m., and Ira Siegel’s remarks in the Baseball Memories committee meeting at noon on Friday, June 27. Eric is also slated to compete in the 4-Person Trivia Contest alongside Jim Baker, Mike Lassman, and Cy Morong, and individual contests are also open to anyone. There are no formal plans for chapter meetings at the conference; however, we encourage attendees to support the speakers and contestants or grab a meal or beverage with a few folks, time permitting.

Next meeting: San Antonio Missions game outing

Looking ahead to July, we’ll be heading to Wolff Stadium for a game on Saturday, July 19, at 7:05 p.m., when the Missions host the Amarillo Sod Poodles. We’ve had the best luck identifying a somewhat open section where individuals can purchase their tickets directly from the Missions’ online platform. Family members and guests are welcome to join us there. We’ll have more details around July 1 via the Hornsby Google Group and SABR chapter lists.

 

It’s June, and we said, “What about breakfast at Rudy’s?”

Our next Hornsby Chapter monthly meeting brings us together at an earlier start time, 9:30 a.m., Saturday, June 14, for an inviting selection of breakfast tacos and self-serve beverages on the covered patio of Rudy’s Country Store, just off TX 360 at Stoneridge Road (drivers may notice the Shell station first).

Ryan Pollack will host our trivia quiz, and I’m pretty sure the 2025 Colorado Rockies will not be any of the correct answers. It’s sure to be intriguing where this month’s quiz goes. We will also have insight on the field for Omaha and the 2025 Men’s College World Series by that time.

While seating should be open in the 9:30 a.m. window, hitting the mobile-friendly RSVP form helps us know who and how many to expect, especially if you are joining us for the first time (or first in a while). We’ll see you there!

June 2025 Monthly Meeting RSVP form

 

Comets top Express at May meeting that featured barbecue and Star Wars

May 2025 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

Thirteen chapter members and guests proved to be not so lucky for the hometown Round Rock Express, which hosted the Oklahoma City Comets on Star Wars Night at the chapter’s May meeting on Saturday.

After an early 2-1 lead, the Express did not strike back after the Comets plated six runs in the fifth inning, streaking their way to a 7-3 win. A key statistic that told the story of this game was team batting with runners in scoring position. The Comets excelled here, going six-for-eight while the Express went one-for-six, leaving 10 runners on base.

After the game, fans were treated to a Star Wars-themed drone show that depicted characters, scenes and audio clips from the movies and shows. The best one may have been the one with Grogu (aka Baby Yoda) levitating a baseball!

We also enjoyed a visit from Express General Manager Tim Jackson.

Linda Nichols had the best shoes at Dell Diamond — a new pair of Keds sneakers stitched like a baseball! Well done, Linda!

Before the game, chapter members and guests enjoyed a barbecue dinner at the Salt Lick.

SABR Webinar: Pete Rose, Shoeless Joe & the Hall

You may have seen the invitation to join a Zoom webinar at 6 p.m. (Central Time) Wednesday, May 21, about MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred’s decision to remove Pete Rose, Shoeless Joe Jackson and other members of the Chicago Black Sox and others from baseball’s permanently ineligible list. The discussion will also focus on sports gambling and the players’ newfound eligibility for election to the National Baseball Hall of Fame.

The webinar will feature Don Van Natta Jr., Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative reporter with ESPN, Keith O’Brien, author of “Charlie Hustle: The Rise and Fall of Pete Rose, and the Last Glory Days of Baseball,” and Jay Jaffe, FanGraphs senior writer and author of “Cooperstown Casebook: Who’s in the Baseball Hall of Fame, Who Should Be In, and Who Should Pack Their Plaques.” The webinar will be moderated by Jacob Pomrenke, who is on the SABR Black Sox Scandal Research Committee.

In 2024, O’Brien joined the Hornsby Chapter for a Zoom meeting on SABR Day to talk about “Charlie Hustle.” O’Brien, a New York Times bestselling author, award-winning journalist and SABR member, reminded us of Rose’s great baseball accomplishments and his poor choices and gambling addiction that derailed his legacy.

Attendance is limited to members of SABR. Click here to pre-register for this Zoom event.

SABR 53 DFW

Have you registered for SABR 53? It’s not too late! Here’s the link for more information about the annual conference from June 26 to 29 in the Dallas-Fort Worth area: https://sabr.org/convention/2025/registration

Among the 32 research presentations are one by a chapter member and another who shared details about his proposal at the chapter’s SABR Day meeting earlier this year.

In a research presentation, Hornsby Chapter member Eric Bynum will discuss the Waco Navigators, which won three consecutive Class B Texas League titles from 1914 to 1916, including a controversial decision related to the shared title with the Houston Buffaloes in 1914. His presentation will be at 11:30 a.m. Thursday, June 26.

Also, Brenden Gilbreath, a law student at Texas Tech School of Law, will describe his proposal to MLB and the MLB Players Association to award annual benefits to the families of Negro League veterans in a presentation called “Heroes Get Remembered, but Legends Never Die: Properly Recognizing the Contributions of Negro League Veterans.” His presentation will be at 10 a.m. Thursday, June 26. Gilbreath shared an early draft of his proposal at the Hornsby Chapter’s SABR Day meeting on Feb. 1.

Here’s a link to all presentations: https://sabr.org/convention/sabr53-presentations

Cool baseball stories: A minor league ball wrapped in memories
By Don Dingee

Before I started elementary school, my grandmother bought the former one-room schoolhouse next door to my parents’ house in Churchtown, NY. Over several summers, “Eddie the carpenter” added a kitchen, bathroom, pumphouse, furnace room, and a rear porch, and finished out two bedrooms and the front porch. He often had a radio with the Mets on while working, and mentioned a few times that he pitched in the Dodgers’ system.

I would see Eddie Yasinski occasionally in Hudson, where he also worked as a mail carrier and umpire. He was right over my shoulder behind the plate for the last game I played in high school. When I joined SABR and started thinking about a writing project, Eddie came to mind, and what I found was a fascinating story. His biography is in the Minor Leagues Research Committee Spring 2025 Newsletter.

His daughter, Susan, better known as guitarist Susan SurfTone, was of immense help, providing photos and anecdotes. When I shared the published version with her, she said, “Send me your address, I have something for you.” Soon, a baseball in a plastic case arrived by mail, signed by Eddie, manager and former major leaguer Al Brancato, future major leaguers Art Cecarelli and Gabe Gabler, former major leaguers Clyde McNeil and Rudy Rufer, and most of the players on the 1953 Elmira Pioneers, the Dodgers’ A affiliate.

Susan related that after Eddie passed away in 2017, she found five similarly signed baseballs from Eddie’s various minor league stops, with two labeled “Eastern League,” which made me feel a bit better that she wasn’t parting with an heirloom. It’s a precious gift that has joined my small baseball memorabilia collection.

Do you have a cool baseball story that happened to you this season? Want to share it with your friends in the Hornsby Chapter and beyond? This may be perfect for you! Please reach out to Gilbert D. Martinez (gmartinez46@mac.com) with a brief description of your cool baseball story (write in first-person and limit your story to no more than 300 words, please) and accompanying photo if available.

Predictatron Update: Gay leads the way
[Note: Jim Baker shared this Predictatron update with the email list on May 12.]
By Jim Baker

We have a new leader heading into the quarter turn of the season in the person of Mr. Gay. Previously satisfied to lead just the Brian Rogers Division, he has now unseated previous overall leader Mr. Windham as well. All is not lost for the rookie upstart, however, as he has maintained his lead in the Eric Robinson Division in spite of coughing up the big lead.

It was a very positive week for most players as we averaged a 33-point gain. This helped push the number of players at or past the 700-point mark to eight. The biggest week was turned in by Mr. Harrell, who rang up 57 points, enabling him to climb from ninth to fifth in the Robinson Division. This makes him our Player of the Week. You will probably remember that Mr. Harrell won this award no less than seven times in 2024—a truly staggering number that had never before been achieved. Is the first of seven for 2025? Stay tuned.

In the Rogers Division, Mr. Rechtorovic the Younger also had a big showing, missing the Player of the Week award by just one point. This allowed him to progress from tenth place all the way up to fifth. Team Hall also broke the 50-point barrier on the week, jumping from seventh to third in the process.

With one-fourth of the season gone, here’s a look at the least-costly and most-costly picks so far. Note that there are 19 individual-team perfect scores.

 

Least Costly

Most Costly

 

Player/score

loss

Player/score

loss

Baltimore

Wancho 79

-17

Robinson, Seigel, 90L

-55

Boston

Polk, Larson, Windham 85

0

Miller 94

-9

NY Yankees

Miller 92

-1

Larson, Dingee 84

-9

Tampa Bay

McIntosh 73

0

Bass 58

-15

Toronto

R. Martinez, Gay 81

0

Siegel 71

-10

Chi. White Sox

Bass 47L

-3

R Martinez, Walsh 63L

-31

Cleveland

G Martinez 95

-2

McNulty 76

-17

Detroit

Dingee, Siegel 91

-12

Rogers 78

-25

Kansas City

Bass 93

0

Dillon, Baker 80

-13

Minnesota

6 tied with 83*

0

Dingee 74

-9

Houston

Dingee, Larson, McIntosh 83

0

G Martinez 93L

-20

LA Angels

Siegel 66

0

Polk 51

-15

Athletics

Dingee 84

-1

Polk 67L

-32

Seattle

Dingee & Polk 89, Siegel 93

-2

Windham 83

-8

Texas

Bass 78

-1

Crombar 92L

-26

 

 

 

 

 

Atlanta

G Martinez 86

-9

J Rechtorovic 96L

-38

Miami

F Rechtorovic 62

0

Barnes 69L

-13

NY Mets

Polk 97

-6

Harrell 84

-19

Philadelphia

G Martinez, Polk 96

-1

Robinson 86

-11

Washington

J Rechtorovic 67

0

Harrell 57L

-20

Chicago Cubs

Dillon 90L

-2

Polk 78

-13

Cincinnati

Baker, Walsh 77

0

McNulty, Harrell, Wancho 86

-9

Milwaukee

Dillon 79

0

Siegel 94L

-30

Pittsburgh

G Martinez 70

-15

Dingee 82

-27

St. Louis

Barnes 84

-3

Bass 58

-29

Arizona

J Rechtorovic 83

0

Polk 96

-13

Colorado

J Rechtorovic 55

-27

McIntosh, 62L

-67

Los Angeles

Larson, F Rechtorovic 105L

-3

Pollack, R Martinez 97L

-17

San Diego

Barnes 92

-12

Pollack, Rogers, Larson 82

-22

San Francisco

Bass 83

-12

Crombar 76

-19

 

*Barnes, Polk, Dillon, Larson, F Rechtorovic, Siegel

 

As we pause to comprehend the folly that is the 2025 Colorado Rockies so far, consider that the best score for them in our group is costing its owner 27 points! The team with the lowest most-damaging score is Seattle at -8. If you see an ‘L’ next to a player’s pick in this chart, it means it’s their Lock. A Lock in the Least-Damaging column is a truly impressive feat, given the double jeopardy the Lock brings with it. There are only three such picks on the board so far.

It’s interesting to see the same players on both sides of the ledger, proving once again that predicting the outcome of baseball seasons is nowhere near an exact science. You probably already knew that, though.

Through games of Sunday, May 11, or 25.0 percent of the 2025 season:

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

Last

^/v

prev

move

1

Scott Gay

726

 

701

25

1

0

2

Don Dingee

710

16

699

11

2

0

3

Team Hall

709

17

657

52

7

4

4

Jim Baker

703

23

661

42

6

2

5

John Rechtorovic

699

27

643

56

10

5

6

Mike McNulty

695

31

674

21

4

-2

7

Kevin Barnes

694

32

652

42

8

1

8

Tom Wancho

693

33

682

11

3

-5

9

Brian Rogers

681

45

648

33

9

0

10

Gilbert Martinez

678

48

667

11

5

-5

11

Ryan Pollack

663

63

619

44

12

1

12

Syd Polk

651

75

625

26

11

-1

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

Last

^/v

prev

move

1

Bob Windham

723

 

704

19

1

0

2

Frank Rechtorovic

715

8

668

47

4

2

3

Mike Dillon

707

16

679

28

3

0

4

Jerry Miller

700

23

693

7

2

-2

5

Mike Harrell*

693

30

636

57

9

4

6

Jan Larson

687

36

644

43

6

0

7

Gary McIntosh

685

38

657

28

5

-2

8

Ira Siegel

681

42

641

40

7

-1

9

Michael Bass

670

53

631

39

10

1

9

Dan Walsh

670

53

628

42

12

3

11

Raeanne Martinez

667

56

621

46

13

2

12

Eric Robinson

663

60

630

33

11

-1

13

Chris Crombar

652

71

637

15

8

-5

 

*Player of the Week

         

Awardatron Update
[Note: Ryan Pollack shared the following on the group email list on April 21, nearly a month into the season.]
By Ryan Pollack

Greetings & salutations, all! Your first Awardatron update is coming a tad early, as I will be busy next week. The season’s young, but let’s check in on the awards favorites so far.

AL MVP
Frontrunners: Judge, Witt Jr., Henderson

Henderson has started slowly, with a batting line of just .228/..267/.439 (103 wRC+ — meaning his park-adjusted offense is 3% better than league average). And his plate discipline is all messed up, with just a 5% walk rate against a sky-high 33% K rate.

As Orioles fans, we’re leaning on two positive facts to start the year. One, he’s hitting the ball extremely hard (64.9% Hard-hit rate per Statcast). Two, he missed a month of spring training with an intercostal strain and so may just be one of those guys who needs the reps. The projection systems remain confident in him, as do us Baltimore fans (dear lord knows we need something to hope for after this miserable start to the year).

NL MVP
Frontrunners: Tatis Jr., Ohtani, Betts

Fernando Tatis Jr. is fulfilling the promise he made when the Padres signed him to that mammoth extension several years ago. He has been consistently excellent since then, but teammates like Machado and Soto have overshadowed him, and his scandal-fueled couple of years didn’t help. Now, however, he’s off to a stunning .358/.436/.631 start (209 wRC+, meaning his park-adjusted offense is 109% better than league average) with 8 HR and 7 SB. Oh and he’s playing above-average defense in the outfield. 

The most impressive thing is that he’s struck out a minuscule 12.8% of the time — significantly better than the league-average strikeout rate of 22.5%. He’s also walking the same amount, and to walk as much as you strike out is pretty much Juan Soto / Kyle Tucker territory. It seems there is a new National League right fielder on this list!

His career high in WAR is 6.8, set in 2021; he already has 1.9 this year. Sky’s the limit.

AL Cy Young
Frontrunners: Crochet, Skubal, Ragans

Crochet has looked every bit like the ace Boston thought they were getting when they not only traded for him, but signed him to a crazy extension. His 1.13 ERA is being held up by an unsustainably low home run rate and an unsustainably high baserunner strand rate, but his expected stats and peripherals point to an ERA in the high 2’s or low 3’s, not some ghastly number. Although Crochet is emphasizing his sinker more than 2024 and has added break to his cutter, his calling card remains his fastball. Batters are slugging .175 against it despite seeing it almost half the time. 

NL Cy Young
Frontrunners: Skenes, Wheeler, Webb

Skenes looks even better to start his first full season. Although his strikeout rate is down, his walk rate is also down (from 6.2% to 3.4%, and so is his hard-hit rate (from 36.3% to 32.5%). Right now he’s basically Greg Maddux (career 4.9% walk rate) except, you know, he throws 98 MPH and has a 93 MPH splitter.   

AL Rookie of the Year
Frontrunners: Kristian Campbell, Jacob Wilson, Jack Leiter

Pretty much no one was saying anything about Jacob Wilson (shortstop for the Athletics) to start the year. At least, not that I heard of. Well — that’s changed now. He sports a park-adjusted offensive line that’s 52% better than major league average, and although I’m honestly not sure how park adjustments in Sacramento are being done this year, that’s still very good. Breaking it down, he has a super weird batting line of .354/.354/.500 with 2 HR and 1 SB. Fascinatingly, he has zero walks and has struck out only 3.4% of the time. He’s not hitting the ball hard (2.5% Barrel rate), so it seems he’s shaping up to be another Luis Arraez type, who sprays singles all around the field because he’s adept at squaring up the baseball. 

But crucially, unlike Arraez, Wilson is a good defender at a premium position. According to Statcast, he’s in the 82nd percentile for range and 77th at arm strength. Because of this, if he can maintain even a league-average batting line, he can be really valuable.

NL Rookie of the Year
Frontrunners: Dylan Crews, Thomas Saggese, Zac Veen

The NL ROY crowd is pretty thin. But so far, Thomas Saggese has fired up the Cardinals with a .400/.389/.600 batting line. That .422 wOBA is obviously not sustainable but even his .342 xWOBA would be very good for a rookie. And combined with above-average defense up the middle (he’s a second baseman / shortstop), you have the makings of a potential breakout in St. Louis. 

AL Manager of the Year
Frontrunners: Hinch (Tigers), Bochy (Rangers), Schneider (Blue Jays)

The Tigers are 13-9 with a +24 run differential to start the year, 7th best in MLB. Given how they ended last year, I think many expected them to do better this year, but the fact they’re out in front counts as a mild surprise. Skubal hasn’t really looked like Skubal yet, but he’s still excellent, and Spencer Torkelson is fulfilling his prospect potential with a park-adjusted batting line 93% better than league-average. Their playoff odds have increased 27 points, most in the big leagues so far, from 37% to 64%. Those are the kinds of positive surprises that get managers awards. 

NL Manager of the Year
Frontrunners: Counsell (Cubs), Melvin (Giants), Shildt (Padres)

The Cubs were something of a disappointment last year. Well — not so much this year. Their playoff odds have increased 18 points, from a right-on-the-bubble 56% to a close-to-a-sure-thing 74%. Kyle Tucker has been astounding to start the year with a park-adjusted batting line 76% better than league average — pretty much right where he landed last year. Pete Crow-Armstrong has been not-terrible at the plate, which when combined with his superlative defense in CF and baserunning, has given him 1.2 WAR already. Although Justin Steele is out for the year, Colin Rea, Matthew Boyd, Shota Imanaga, and Jameson Taillon have helped keep the rotation afloat. Boyd and Imanaga are getting a little lucky, but the games they’ve helped win are in the books, so it doesn’t matter as much.  

Next meeting
In June, we’ll have a breakfast/brunch meeting at 9:30 a.m. Saturday, June 14, at Rudy’s Bar-B-Cue on Capital of Texas Highway in Southwest Austin. Look for a call for RSVPs early next month.

In July, we’re headed back to watch the San Antonio Missions (Double-A affiliate of the San Diego Padres) host the Amarillo Sod Poodles (Double-A affiliate of the Arizona Diamondbacks) at 7 p.m. Saturday, July 19. More details to come in early July.

May game outing to see the Express on the 17th will feature Star Wars Night

Our 222nd consecutive monthly meeting is planned for our second game outing in 2025, this time to see the Round Rock Express take on the Oklahoma City Comets at Dell Diamond on Saturday, May 17, game time 7:15 p.m. It’s Star Wars Night in the park, with two chances for Hornsby members to socialize that evening:

  • Some members gather for an optional dinner at the Salt Lick BBQ adjacent to Dell Diamond. Salt Lick policy is only to seat complete parties, so we ask members and their guests to RSVP using our mobile-friendly form for an accurate headcount and arrive by 5 p.m. *sharp*. An added benefit of early arrival is free parking in or near the Salt Lick parking lot, and after dinner, it’s a short walk over to the stadium.
  • Game attendees should purchase their tickets via the Round Rock Express site. We are eying a block of seats down the right field line in section 125, rows 16, 17, 18, and 19, seats 16-24 (with 24 being an aisle), where tickets are $23 each. Purchase seats as soon as possible to ensure being close to the group.

Dell Diamond is cashless, and card or mobile device payments are accepted for parking and at all concession booths. Join us on Saturday the 17th – significant others and kids are welcome. Where else will you get lightsaber lessons, a drone show, and baseball?

RSVP for the Salt Lick BBQ PreGame

Purchase tickets for the Express-Comets game

Baseball trivia, a new wins-by-payroll stat and barbecue lunch fill April gathering

April 2025 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

Fifteen chapter members – including three attending their very first Hornsby Chapter meeting – enjoyed a pleasant spring day and barbecue lunch provided by the family of Nicole Bryan-Hall, Brian Hall and Bailey Hall in Central Austin on Sunday.

We extended a warm welcome to James Navarro, who is new to the Hornsby Chapter, formerly with the Rocky Mountain Chapter; Clayton Hsiung, who is an exchange student at the University of Texas at Austin and from Taiwan; and Jeff Latimer from Martindale.

Co-host Brian Hall spent weeks crafting a trivia quiz for this month’s meeting with a hodgepodge of questions that focused on baseball in recent years and introduced a new statistic that tracks teams’ opening day payrolls divided by wins.

Newcomer Clayton Hsiung took top prize (and a pair of socks, pictured above, featuring his favorite team, the Texas Rangers!) with 28 points, while Ryan Pollack took second with 25 points (winning a Jose Altuve votive candle). They are pictured above (ClaytonWhile they were the only contestants with scores in the 20s, Ira Siegel had 18 points; James Navarro and Jerry Miller had 17; and Gilbert Martinez had 16.

Click here to take your swing at Brian Hall’s baseball quiz.

Click here for the answers: Brian Hall’s baseball quiz — key.

To learn more about his new statistic, click here.

For the list of players that have had Tommy John surgery, click here.

Many thanks to the Halls for their generous hospitality and challenging quiz  and to everyone able to join us, especially the new members!

Speaking of trivia…

As you probably know, SABR 53 will be June 25-29 at the Westin DFW Airport in Irving! And the Hornsby Chapter is looking to put together a trivia team. Planning on attending and want to join our trivia team? Please reach out to Chapter Commissioner Gilbert D. Martinez.

Also, make note that early bird registration for SABR 53 ends April 25. Click this link for more details about registration, hotel, scheduled speakers and events: https://sabr.org/convention/

Hopes run high as Predictatron begins anew!

[Note: Jim Baker shared the first Predictatron update of the season with the email list on April 6.]

By Jim Baker

Sunday, April 6, 2025, edition

IT’S ALL TOO REAL NOW!

And so it begins: another season of Predictatron futility, exuberance, frustration and joy. The contest with the impossible mandate of predicting an entire baseball season is underway once more.

Breaking out on top is Team Hall, pacing the field with a score of 291 points. As you would imagine, Team Hall is also our first Player of the Week. They lead the Brian Rogers Division by 29 points over Mr. Wancho after the first go-round. Not too far behind them is Eric Robinson Division leader Mr. Dillon, who comes out of the starting blocks with 289 points. His closest pursuer is Mr. Harrell, who is just 10 points off the mark. Those blessed with keen memories will remember that Mr. Dillon came within three Yankee World Series wins of taking not only this contest, but our postseason tourney as well. If this first week’s performance is any indication, he’s trying to make up for that close loss.

Mr. Rogers, our defending champion, is showing the effects of his offseason spent celebrating his victory and making the rounds of the banquet circuit as a much-sought-after lecturer, stumbling out of the chute 81 points off the leader. As we well know, though, no lead is safe at this early point in the season. In his attempt to defend his own division, Mr. Robinson finds himself in the middle of the pack.

With 25 participants, this is our largest field ever. We are welcoming two new players this year, Mr. Barnes of the Rogers Division and Mr. Windham of the Robinson. In the battle for the mythical Rookie of the Year title, the latter leads the former 245 to 224 for starters. Watch this space for updates on that particular rivalry.

When one submits a ballot to a contest of this sort, one never knows how far removed one is from the collective group think of all the contestants. One way to measure it is to compare this year’s submissions to last year’s standings. Perhaps the safest thing to do would be to simply submit last year’s standings as your ballot for this year. If that were the case, you would have a perfect score of 1,000 in the following chart. This reckoning, known as “Mild or Wild” does just that: gives each player a score comparing their ballot to last year’s standings. The higher your score on this chart, the ”milder” your ballot is; the lowest scores are, therefore, the “Wildest.”

Mild or Wild 2025

Note that the average and median are both around 840. Which approach is best? We shall see…

897

Gilbert Martinez

894

Kevin Barnes

869

Jerry Miller

866

Scott Gay

864

Ira Siegel

860

Team Hall

858

Mike Dillon

858

Bob Windham

853

Gary McIntosh

851

Jim Baker

851

Eric Robinson

842

Don Dingee

841

Mike Harrell

839

John Rechtorovic

839

Syd Polk

835

Brian Rogers

832

Mike McNulty

830

Frank Rechtorovic

829

Ryan Pollack

822

Dan Walsh

818

Chris Crombar

815

Jan Larson

809

Raeanne Martinez

795

Tom Wancho

792

Michael Bass

In our next report, we’ll find out which teams we as a group favor for titles, Locks and all that sort of thing.

Through games of Sunday, April 6, or 5.9 percent of the 2025 season:

Brian Rogers Division

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

1

Team Hall*

291

 

2

Tom Wancho

262

29

3

Scott Gay

257

34

4

Mike McNulty

243

58

5

Kevin Barnes

224

67

6

John Rechtorovic

211

80

6

Syd Polk

211

80

6

Jim Baker

211

80

9

Brian Rogers

210

81

9

Gilbert Martinez

210

81

11

Ryan Pollack

208

83

12

Don Dingee

197

94

 

*Player of the Week

 

Eric Robinson Division

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

1

Mike Dillon

289

 

2

Mike Harrell

279

10

3

Jerry Miller

259

30

4

Frank Rechtorovic

257

32

5

Bob Windham

245

44

6

Jan Larson

244

45

7

Eric Robinson

241

48

8

Ira Siegel

237

52

9

Chris Crombar

225

64

10

Gary McIntosh

222

67

11

Dan Walsh

217

72

12

Raeanne Martinez

208

81

13

Michael Bass

127

162

A new season of Awardatron underway!

[Note: Ryan Pollack shared the following on the group email list on March 27, shortly after the start of the season.]

By Ryan Pollack

Happy baseball, y’all! The ballots are in and the season has begun. Yes, I know it began in Japan a couple weeks ago. You know what I mean. 

This is the fourth year of the contest and we have a record-high 20 players. Including myself! Yes, I have no special knowledge, no crystal ball, no inside scoop that y’all don’t have. So I’m in the mix as well.

For scoring purposes, I will split us into two divisions. This year we are going with 1950 RoY winners. Yes, you guessed it, that means we will have the Walt Dropo division and the Sam Jethroe division. I have assigned you to these divisions randomly. 

Let’s take a look at whom we think will take home the hardware this year:

As a group we are pretty sure BWJ will take home the hardware. I waffled between him and Judge but decided to bet on youth. The rest of the field is split between some familiar faces and names — guys who have flashed excellence and at times finished in high spots but have never won the award itself. (Yordan is on my fantasy team so I would love to see him win the award as well!)

I do so dearly hope that Gunnar wins the MVP. He was the frontrunner for much of last year but, like many of the O’s, tailed off too much to get close in the end. 

Here we have another clear favorite! Can you blame folks? I predict fewer stolen bases for Ohtani, but he has shown dominance on the mound in the past, so it’s fair to expect the same from him again this year. (Side note — I’m sorry, but can we just take a moment and recognize that the first 50/50 player in major league history is also a starting pitcher, and a pretty good (at times borderline ace) one at that?!?!!? I … I need a moment to wrap my head around this. Sorry. Talk amongst yourselves. Sheesh).

Scoobs (say that in Shaggy’s voice, please) is the favorite to repeat here. I see no reason why he can’t, which is why I picked him. He’s at peak age and was absurdly dominant last year, by which I mean, did not rely on that much batted ball luck or sequencing to achieve his results. The rest of the field is pretty mixed, with some thinking that Gilbert and Ragans will take the leap, as well as recent extendee Bibee (yes, I made that joke on purpose).

Phenom Skenes is the clear favorite here amongst the group. The young fireballer impressed everyone last year en route to NL ROY hardware. He is projected by many systems and pundits to be the best pitcher in the NL this year. Perennial also-ran Wheeler comes in (naturally!) 2nd place. After that you have a pair of previous award winners in Sale and Snell, and the very-good-but-never-quite-dominant Cease.

The AL ROY field seems wide open. In my opinion nearly all of these guys have some kind of shot, with the exception being, err, Skubal. (Yes, I gave that contestant plenty of time to change their submission. No, they did not.) The two Red Sox prospects — Anthony and Campbell — are why many think the team will do much better this year than in the last couple of years.

The NL ROY predictions are more heavily concentrated around two players — Sasaki and Crews, in this case. Also, someone is clearly hoping the Orioles trade Mayo to the NL prior for an early-season callup. (That someone is not me, not unless we get some amazing haul for him.)

Continuing the Red Sox theme, many here think Alex Cora will win AL MOY. The Red Sox had a very good offseason, so if they make the playoffs convincingly, he might. The next cluster of votes went to Dan Wilson, newly minted skipper of the Mariners. Will he succeed where Scott Servais could not? In my opinion the Mariners still lack the offense to make a run at the division; although, the Astros are probably the most vulnerable they have been in a long time, and the Rangers have holes as well.

Finally, we land on NL MOY predictions. It’s never wise to bet against Terry Francona, as he is an awesome manager and has won the hardware several times before. Can he do it again but this time in a different Ohio city? I’m not personally sure the Reds have enough talent to make a run, but hey, what do I know?

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Stick around y’all, it’s going to be a fun season — especially in the AL, as there are a significant number of teams with a reasonable shot at the playoffs. I plan to provide updates & commentary towards the end of each month.

Thanks for playing and see ya in about a month!

Next meeting

Our next meeting will be a Round Rock Express game at 7 p.m. Saturday, May 17, for Star Wars Night! More details to come early next month about a pre-game barbecue dinner at Salt Lick and where we’ll be sitting.