Bill Gilbert’s 2010 analysis of Hall of Fame Candidates based on win shares may be downloaded here.
Working at the Ballpark
Working at the Ballpark
Who Were the Most Productive Offensive Players in 2009?
2009 Cy Young Award Winners
Download the results here in Microsoft Excel format: 2009 Cy Young Predictions (final).
November Meeting Wrap-Up
Eight members assembled at Third Base in Austin for the November meeting of the Rogers Hornsby chapter. Monte Cely presented Jan Larson with a major award for winning Monte’s annual Cy Young prediction contest.
Michael Bass had prepared a trivia quiz on the decade of the 1960s. Unfortunately a conflict prevented Michael from presenting the quiz but he did leave the answers in a hermetically sealed envelope with Tom Wancho who handled administration duties. Dan Walsh edged Jim Baker for the win by a score of 13-12 with the other contestants relegated to also-ran status.
Tom Wancho also served in an administrative capacity as the members conducted a vote on the upcoming Hall of Fame managers/umpires and executive candidates. Applying the same standards as the Hall of Fame, specifically requiring 75% of the votes cast for an individual to be elected, the chapter elected only one candidate – Marvin Miller, former executive director of the Major League Players Association.
The planning committee for the Hornsby Chapter Winter Meeting put together a preliminary agenda for that meeting which will be held on January 16. Details will be finalized at a later date.
Discussion centered on the recently completed post-season and the traditional off-season "hot stove" topics.
The next monthly meeting was scheduled for Thursday, December 17 also at Third Base.
Triple Milestones – 2009
Post-Season Prediction results – 2009
Dan Walsh has won the Hornsby Postseason Prediction contest. Although Dan had the Phillies winning the World Series, his strong showing in the first round put him in a position to best challenger Jan Larson, who correctly picked a six-game Yankee win in the Series. Michael Bass also correctly picked a Yankee win, although he opted for seven games, garnering him nine points instead of 10. Tom Wancho rounded out the top three.
|
Postseason 2009! |
Total
|
PHI-COL
|
STL-LAD
|
BOS-LAA
|
NYY-MIN
|
NLCS
|
ALCS
|
World Series
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Win
|
G
|
Pts
|
Win
|
G
|
Pts
|
Win
|
G
|
Pts
|
Win
|
G
|
Pts
|
Win
|
G
|
Pts
|
Win
|
G
|
Pts
|
Win
|
G
|
Pts
|
||||
|
1
|
Dan
|
Walsh
|
24
|
PHI
|
3
|
4
|
LAD
|
5
|
4
|
LAA
|
4
|
4
|
NYY
|
4
|
4
|
PHI
|
7
|
8
|
LAA
|
6
|
0
|
PHI
|
7
|
0
|
|
2
|
Jan
|
Larson
|
20
|
PHI
|
4
|
5
|
STL
|
5
|
-5
|
BOS
|
5
|
-5
|
NYY
|
3
|
5
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
NYY
|
6
|
10
|
NYY
|
6
|
10
|
|
3
|
Tom
|
Wancho
|
18
|
PHI
|
4
|
5
|
STL
|
4
|
-5
|
LAA
|
5
|
4
|
NYY
|
5
|
4
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
NYY
|
6
|
10
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
|
4
|
Michael
|
Bass
|
17
|
COL
|
5
|
-5
|
STL
|
5
|
-5
|
LAA
|
5
|
4
|
NYY
|
4
|
4
|
STL
|
7
|
0
|
NYY
|
6
|
10
|
NYY
|
7
|
9
|
|
4
|
Bill
|
Gilbert
|
17
|
COL
|
5
|
-5
|
LAD
|
5
|
4
|
LAA
|
5
|
4
|
NYY
|
4
|
4
|
LAD
|
5
|
0
|
NYY
|
6
|
10
|
LAD
|
7
|
0
|
|
6
|
Monte
|
Cely
|
9
|
PHI
|
4
|
5
|
STL
|
4
|
-5
|
LAA
|
4
|
4
|
NYY
|
3
|
5
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
LAA
|
6
|
0
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
|
7
|
Gilbert
|
Martinez
|
8
|
COL
|
5
|
-5
|
STL
|
4
|
-5
|
LAA
|
5
|
4
|
NYY
|
3
|
5
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
NYY
|
5
|
9
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
|
7
|
Jim
|
Baker
|
8
|
PHI
|
4
|
5
|
LAD
|
5
|
4
|
BOS
|
5
|
-5
|
NYY
|
4
|
4
|
LAD
|
5
|
0
|
BOS
|
6
|
0
|
LAD
|
7
|
0
|
|
9
|
Craig
|
Lukshin
|
-2
|
PHI
|
5
|
4
|
STL
|
4
|
-5
|
BOS
|
5
|
-5
|
NYY
|
4
|
4
|
STL
|
6
|
0
|
BOS
|
7
|
0
|
BOS
|
6
|
0
|
|
10
|
Joe
|
LeBritton
|
-11
|
COL
|
4
|
-5
|
STL
|
3
|
-5
|
BOS
|
4
|
-5
|
NYY
|
4
|
4
|
COL
|
7
|
0
|
BOS
|
6
|
0
|
BOS
|
5
|
0
|
Final Predictatron Results – 2009
Mike Dillon, Jan Larson and Cy Morong are the three who had the Yankees going all the way. Monte Cely and Dan Walsh picked the Phillies to make it to the World Series, but only Dan had them winning it.
|
PLAYER
|
Score
|
|
Mike Bass
|
800
|
|
Tom Wancho
|
772
|
|
Jan Larson
|
770
|
|
Cy Morong
|
770
|
|
Mike Dillon
|
769
|
|
Dan Walsh
|
758
|
|
Monte Cely
|
741
|
|
Bill Gilbert
|
733
|
|
Gilbert Martinez
|
731
|
|
Jim Baker
|
718
|
|
Paul Sporer
|
699
|
December Meeting
The monthly meeting of the Rogers Hornsby chapter will be held on Thursday, December 17 beginning at 6:00 p.m. at Third Base located at 1717 West 6th Street in Austin. More details to be forthcoming.
Cy Morong: Some Very Old Sabermetric Classics That Are Online
Some Very Old Sabermetric Classics That Are Online
Cy provides links to a number of articles from years past that discuss various topics related to modern Sabermetrics including one by Branch Rickey in which Rickey detailed his famous (to many SABR members at least) "team efficiency" equation.