Hot stove chatter and winter meeting preview fills end-of-year get-together

December 2025 Newsletter
By Gilbert D. Martinez

Seventeen chapter members and guests gathered ’round the hot stove to reflect on the major off-season deals so far and the winners and losers of such deals at the December meeting on Sunday at County Line on the Lake in Austin.

Jerry Miller, still very much basking in his Dodgers’ thrilling second consecutive World Series title, brought his Managers as Players Quiz to challenge the group.

Cy Morong (above, right) took top prize with 20 points, followed by Jim Baker (above, left) with 18, friend-of-the-chapter Gene with 14, and Monte Cely and Dick Butler with 12 each. Cy presented the top two finishers with prizes. Cy won “Why We Love Baseball: A History in 50 Moments” by Joe Posnanski, and Jim won “The Man in the Dugout: 15 Big League Managers Speak Their Minds” by Donald Honig.

Take a swing at Jerry’s quiz at this link (the answers follow the questions): Managers as Players Quiz

Good luck!

20th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting

Meanwhile, we’re excited to share the tentative meeting agenda for the 20th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting, scheduled for Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026. It’s our biggest meeting of the year!

Jerry Miller, winter meeting coordinator, has put together a fun schedule featuring a conversation with Keith Moreland, a 12-year MLB veteran, University of Texas Longhorns national champion and broadcaster, and longtime minor league broadcaster Mike Capps. We’ll also have representatives from the Round Rock Express and San Antonio Missions, along with various baseball presentations and activities during the day.

See more details in Jerry’s winter meeting announcement and RSVP form below.

Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting Announcement
By Jerry Miller

The holidays will soon be behind us and, although never far from our minds, the National Pastime will soon again be front and center. It all starts with the 20th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting, sponsored by the Rogers Hornsby (Central Texas) Chapter of the Society for American Baseball Research (SABR). This year’s meeting is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. Jan. 10, 2026, at Texas State University in San Marcos (see directions at the end of the newsletter below).

Named after our late chapter founder and president, the meeting will include our traditional chapter activities, as well as a series of presentations from both chapter members and outside speakers, with some new surprises. Through the efforts of chapter member and friend Mike Capps, we are honored to welcome University of Texas legend and 12-year major leaguer Keith Moreland, who will discuss the Longhorns’ 1975 national championship, as well as his long association with the Chicago Cubs, including as a member of the 1984 NL East champions and a team broadcaster. Through the efforts of chapter member and Maryland native Ryan Pollack, we are also pleased to welcome, via Zoom, Michael Gibbons, director emeritus of the Babe Ruth Birthplace & Museum in Baltimore, which recently celebrated its 50th anniversary as the repository of all things Bambino. The meeting will also feature:

  • A Zoom presentation by Rob Sheinkopf, author of the recently published “Baseball Impostors: The Dark Side of Fandom,” and “Hey Mom, Wanna Have a Catch?: A Collection of Baseball Stories…Honoring Moms and Dads Who Taught Us to Love America’s National Pastime” (featuring a chapter by our own Monte Cely);
  • A Zoom presentation by Douglas Kurkul, a former chapter member and author of “It’s a Beautiful Day for Baseball: The National Pastime in the 1960s”;
  • Reports from representatives of our local minor league teams, the San Antonio Missions and Round Rock Express, as well as a presentation by Texas State master’s graduate and former Sugar Land Space Cowboys creative marketing associate Carly Earnest on their season;
  • Presentations from chapter members Dick Butler (“Town Ball: Depression-era Baseball in the Texas Hill Country”) and Frank Rechtorovic (“The Emerald City”);
  • A new feature, i.e. a series of mini-workshops on different topics, including various baseball statistics and Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulation games, presented in a “speed dating” format allowing participants to jump from one small group to another;
  • Our traditional features, including our mock Hall of Fame voting, the presentation of awards to the winners of our Predictatron, Awardatron, and Contractatron contests, and presentations by chapter members regarding their 2025 baseball experiences; and
  • Best of all, the opportunity to meet and interact with friends and colleagues from the local baseball community.

Please note that we will have an onsite pizza lunch available for pre-order. We will also be soliciting donations of old baseballs, gloves, bats and other gear for use in our “Baseball Memories” program, which supports baseball reminiscence activities as a means of improving the lives of persons dealing with dementia, chronic health problems, isolation, or loneliness.

We hope that you will be able to join us for our biggest and hopefully best event of the year, as we reflect upon the season past and whet our collective appetites for the season ahead.

Watch for a winter meeting reminder and meeting schedule in early January on our email list and on this chapter website.

RSVP for the Winter Meeting

To RSVP for the Winter Meeting (required if you want to partake in the pizza lunch), please fill out this online form.

Mock Hall of Fame ballot

If you’d like to participate in the chapter’s mock Hall of Fame vote, you can do so online or at the meeting (one or the other, not both!). Use this link to the online ballot for those who want to submit their ballot before or are unable to attend the winter meeting. Many thanks to Ryan Pollack for managing our HOF vote!

Baseball Memories Program Report for 2025
By Monte Cely

May 2025 marked 10 years that our chapter has fielded baseball reminiscence programs. In 2015, Hornsby Chapter volunteers led by Jim Kenton started SABR’s first program in partnership with Alzheimer’s Texas. Reminiscence, recalling pleasant memories of the past, has proven to be an effective way to improve the quality of life of those dealing with dementia, chronic health problems, isolation or loneliness. Since then, the number of programs using baseball as a reminiscence topic has grown both locally and nationally. 

We continued our long-running program with the Kerrville Veterans . Chapter member Larry Rice has assumed command of this important offering.  Although the catastrophic Kerrville flooding and new VA vetting requirements caused a mid-year pause, the program was back in action on Dec. 1. Larry and his San Antonio-area team have a long-standing excellent relationship with the VA Recreation Therapy staff in Kerrville.

Since 2023, our Austin-area team has been presenting a 90-minute monthly program at Williamson County AGE of Central Texas in Round Rock. The audience at this adult day care facility is a large, diverse group. We have a tremendous relationship with the AGE management team, and they are very supportive and enthusiastic about the program.

Over the past 10 years, 15 Hornsby Chapter members, along with family, have volunteered to facilitate or otherwise assist with these programs. We have positively affected the well-being of participants and their care partners. Currently, 10 SABR volunteers and several family members are involved in delivering the VA and AGE programs. In total, we have held 22 in-person sessions in 2025, reaching 35 to 45 participants monthly. 

Two other items of note:

  • Chapter member Peter Myers, now living in the Denver area, has taken a leadership role in the Rocky Mountain Chapter’s baseball memories programs. Peter previously volunteered for our program at AGE of Central Texas.
  • Round Rock Express General Manager Tim Jackson arranged for the team to donate 15 game-used baseballs for our programs. Participants love to grasp a hardball! Thanks, Tim!

In 2026, we plan to add one additional program in each of our major metros (San Antonio and Austin). Grace Place, an adult care center in San Antonio, will come online in January. A second branch of AGE of Central Texas in South Austin is also interested in hosting a program. There are plenty of opportunities to get involved in this valuable community service program. In addition to plenty of baseball (of course), we also add music, cinema/TV, history and other sports in order to evoke a broad range of pleasant memories from a diverse audience. 

We would welcome more volunteers! It’s a rewarding experience for us!

For more info, please contact: Monte Cely – Austin Metro area coordinator at cely@swbell.net

Larry Rice – San Antonio Metro area coordinator at ukisno1@gmail.com

Baseball Memories programs: Call for donations of used baseball equipment

Our chapter’s Baseball Memories programs are soliciting donations of old baseball gear. These are used for show-and-tell segments of our programs and they really help to stimulate the senses and memories of participants. Recall that Jim Bouton wrote in “Ball Four,” “You spend a good piece of your life gripping a baseball, and it turns out that it was the other way around all the time.” We’ve found this is so true when we see a veteran’s eyes light up when getting their hands on a hardball, or a participant tries on an old baseball glove.

If you have an old baseball, glove, bat or other gear taking up space in your closet or garage, please consider donating them for use in our Baseball Memories Programs. A good opportunity would be to bring any donations to our chapter’s upcoming annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting at Texas State University in San Marcos on Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026.

If you have questions or need more information, please contact: Larry Rice at ukisno1@gmail.com

Directions to Old Main at Texas State, site of the Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting

Directions to the winter meeting are as follows:

  1. From I-35, take exit 206 (Aquarena Springs Dr.).
  2. Travel west on Aquarena Springs Drive, which turns into University Drive.
  3. After crossing the San Marcos River, you will come to a traffic light. Turn right onto Sessom Drive. At the first light, turn left on State Street and go up a steep road toward Old Main (pictured above). Go through a gate (the gate should be up) and continue up the hill.
  4. At the top of the hill, make a sharp left turn and drive up to Old Main.
  5. Look for parking on this road that winds around the side and back of Old Main. You can find additional parking at the Pleasant Street Garage, located at the corner of N. LBJ and Pleasant Street. To reach this garage, after you pass through the gate, continue up the hill, then down the hill to the stop sign on Pleasant Street. Turn left; the entrance to the parking garage will be on your left.

You do not need a parking pass to park on campus – however, do not park in spaces not marked as parking spaces or in handicapped parking (unless you have the appropriate tag displayed).

Meeting is on the third floor – both stairs and elevator are available.

We hope to see you on Jan. 10, 2026!

December meeting returns to the County Line on the Lake

Welcome to December, Hornsbyites. While it’s a bit cooler to start the month, we thankfully don’t get much of this white stuff pictured above (Huntington Stadium, home of the Columbus Clippers, taken about three weeks ago). Baseball stadiums may be in their winter hibernation, but in Texas, the hot smoker is fully lit.

Almost 22 years ago, a small group planted the seeds for what would become the SABR Rogers Hornsby Chapter over barbeque platters at County Line on the Lake in Austin (RM2222 and Loop 360). Our December meeting returns to the site on Sunday, December 14, at 1pm. As usual, RSVPs are appreciated so we get a right-sized table for the group, with the form open until Wednesday, December 10:

RSVP December 2025 Meeting – County Line on the Lake Austin

Who knows, there may be much more to talk about on the free agent or trade front, and corresponding sadness or euphoria, depending on your perspective. We hope to see everyone, including our student members, if you are in town, to discuss any developments with your favorite club or player. 

November meeting hits high notes for music-themed baseball quiz, award announcements

November 2025 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

A music-themed baseball quiz, a World Series to remember, a host of baseball awards and a first-time meeting attendee filled the November meeting on Saturday.

Thirteen chapter members and guests – including Wyatt, a Cubs fan from La Grange – gathered for lunch at Cover3 in Central Austin.

Tom Thayer, winner of last month’s trivia quiz, brought the beats–er, questions–in his Musical Baseball Quiz. Asking questions that spanned much of baseball history, he challenged us to recall baseball lyrics and music history related to baseball.

Jerry Miller, who was overjoyed to watch his Dodgers win back-to-back World Series, eked out a one-point win over Jim Baker, 22 to 21, to take Tom’s a capella quiz. The author came in third with 16 points, followed by the author’s spouse, Raeanne Martinez, with 15.

 For his thrilling win, Jerry was awarded “The Best of Spitball: The Literary Baseball Magazine” (Pocket Sports, 1988).

Does this quiz sound like music to your ears? Care to see if you can bridge the gap between baseball trivia and music (as conceived by Tom Thayer)? Click below to give it a go! 

Musical Baseball Quiz

Musical Baseball Quiz Answers

Meanwhile, Jim Baker announced the winners of the full-season Predictatron contest.

Dodgers fan Mike Harrell won the full-season Predictatron contest, riding his favorite team to the top of the standings. He’ll have a division named in his honor for the 2026 edition. Meanwhile, Tom Wancho won his division, so he’ll likewise have a division in his name for next year. This is especially impressive considering their picks were made in March!

Congratulations to all the winners!

Previously, Jim shared that if the Dodgers won the World Series, then Jerry Miller would be crowned the post-season Predictatron champion. He bested the author, who was the only person in the post-season contest to predict the Toronto Blue Jays to win the World Series. Alas, it wasn’t to be.

Jim Baker will present trophies complete with the winners’ names for both contests at the 20th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting at Texas State University in San Marcos on Jan. 10, 2026.

By Jim Baker

HARRELL WINS IT ALL!

WANCHO TOPS ROGERS DIVISION

Congratulations are in order for our 2025 Predictatron Champion, Mr. Harrell. After posting the best regular season record with 803 points, he tacked on 40 more in the postseason to carry the day 843 to 834 over his nearest competitor, Mr. Miller. Meanwhile, Mr. Wancho racked up 830 points to carry off the Brian Rogers Division title.

The average score this year was 798 points with a median of 803. Mr. Dillon led the way with five perfect picks, nailing it exactly on Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, Cincinnati and San Francisco. Mr. Martinez had four such picks while Mr. Polk, Mr. Siegel and Mr. Miller had three each. No player had a perfect pick on any of their Locks, which is the ideal. Interestingly enough, our champion didn’t have any perfect picks, but he was just one point off on six teams.

Rookie Mr. Windham had an impressive first outing, finishing with a fourth-best score of 823. He even led the contest as late as June 22. Our other rookie, Mr. Barnes, got off to a hot start before settling in to finish at 784.

In the end, the right thing to have done was pick the team with the biggest payroll to win it all again. Who knew? Of course, they didn’t play that way during the regular season, finishing with just the third-best record in the National League and fifth overall. The top three finishers in the Brian Rogers Division all picked the Dodgers to go all the way, while no less than eight of the 13 players in the Eric Robinson Division did so. It will be interesting to see how many players predict a threepeat for Los Angeles in next year’s contest.

In recent weeks, we had another prediction contest wrap up and another start up, thanks to Ryan Pollack adding to the suite of prognostication contests.

Awardatron 2025

[Editor’s note: Ryan Pollack shared this Awardatron 2025 wrapup with the email list on Nov. 15.]

By Ryan Pollack

Hello everyone! Can you believe we’ve come to the end of the 2025 baseball awards season? I sure as hell can’t. Do you remember when everyone thought Jacob Wilson was going to run away with the AL ROY award, and then Nick Kurtz hit 4 bombs in one game, and we were all like “Nick who?”? Seems like forever ago. But here we are.

Below are the final tallies and standings for the contest.

Sam Jethroe Division

Bob Windham took the division title here with a solid 71 points. Bob’s predictions were as follows:

  • AL MVP: Aaron Judge (changed from Bobby Witt, Jr. at the ASB, thus getting fewer points)
  • NL MVP: Shohei Ohtani
  • AL Cy Young: Tarik Skubal
  • NL Cy Young: Paul Skenes
  • AL ROY: Jasson Dominguez
  • NL ROY: Jacob Misiorowski (changed from Dylan Crews at the ASB with no effect on points)
  • AL MOY: Dan Wilson
  • NL MOY: Terry Francona

It was a solid showing that was held back only by whiffing on both Rookies of the Year. As you’ll see below, these were the hardest picks for everyone.

Standings:

Walt Dropo Division

Ryan Pollack took the crown here (look, I know, just bear with me as I stay with the 3rd person voice here) with 81 points, beating runner-up Jan Larson 10. His picks were:

  • AL MVP: Bobby Witt, Jr.
  • NL MVP: Shohei Ohtani
  • AL Cy Young: Tarik Skubal
  • NL Cy Young: Paul Skenes
  • AL ROY: Jacob Wilson (changed from Kristian Campbell at the ASB)
  • NL ROY: Drake Baldwin (changed from Dylan Crews at the ASB, thus getting fewer points)
  • AL MOY: Alex Cora
  • NL MOY: Craig Counsell

Strategy note: By holding on to his Bobby Witt, Jr. pick all year, Ryan netted 8 points for Witt Jr’s fourth place finish. If Ryan had switched to Aaron Judge mid-year, he would’ve gotten only 7 points (15 points for Judge’s first place finish, divided in half and rounded down per the rules). Something to think about as far as strategy next year; sometimes changing from a high-but-not-first finisher to a first place finisher is a poor move. 

Standings:

Overall Winner

With 81 points to Bob’s 71, Ryan Pollack wins the 2025 contest! If you’re booing right now, you can thank Jim Baker who reminded me last year that I could enter, seeing as how I have no special knowledge of baseball’s outcomes prior to the season starting 😉

Stats

The point totals for each award show us how difficult each was to predict. A higher point total in the category means it was easier to predict who was going to win the award. 

Ranked from easiest prediction (highest point total) to lowest, they are:

  • NL MVP: 233 points scored in the category. Many of us picked Shohei to start the year and were rewarded handsomely.
  • NL Cy Young: 177 points. Many of us picked Paul Skenes.
  • AL Cy Young: 150 points. Most of us picked Skubal or Crochet.
  • AL MVP: 140 points. Most of us picked Bobby Witt, Jr. to start the year. Several switched to Judge mid-season which, as I mentioned above, resulted in one fewer point!
  • AL MOY: 121 points. A lot of us picked Alex Cora and he ended up finishing 4th.
  • NL MOY: 86 points. The most common pick was Terry Francona who finished runner-up. However, this was balanced out by other people’s picks (Snitker, Roberts, Mendoza) not giving any points at all. 
  • AL ROY: 62 points. This was a hard one to start the year as there was no clear-cut frontrunner. Many people switched to Wilson at the ASB; while this got them some points, the halved point total meant it was many fewer than if they’d guessed him in March.
  • NL ROY: 26 points. This was a tire fire that reflected the crowded field in the NL. Misiorowski’s breakout came just before the ASB and many of us fell victim to recency bias, using the NL switch on him. However he finished 11th, zeroing out any point total.  

That’s a Wrap!

I love doing all of these for you and keeping tabs on the races all year. I think I’ve dialed things in with the scoring system and I hope you appreciated the tweak to be able to change one pick in each league instead of one pick overall. I think this strikes a better balance of difficulty while maintaining interest in the season. 

Thank you for playing; please tell your friends about it next year so we can get even more people in!

Contractatron (winter 2025 edition)

[Editor’s note: Ryan Pollack shared this first update on Nov. 8 about Contractatron, which dares us to predict how much prominent free agents will make in the off-season.]

By Ryan Pollack

Hello & welcome to the 2025 Contractatron contest! Thanks to everyone who entered. I had a fun time with this last year and am glad to be repeating the contest.

I’m your host (and also contestant), Ryan. Get ready for a winter of what appears to be a fairly mediocre free agent class. Kyle Tucker is the clear #1, but he is not in the class of Judge, Ohtani, or Soto who headlined the last few free agent classes. His inconsistent 2025 leaves a lot of room for doubt.

Additionally, there’s a steep drop-off in talent after him. I don’t project anyone else to clear $200M in guaranteed money. The next highest prediction I personally made was Bo Bichette at $170M.

Am I wrong?! Are you??? We’ll have to stay tuned to find out.

To kick things off, here is a look at the range of our predictions in boxplot form:

For each player, the black vertical line is the median prediction among our contestants. The white boxes to either side end at the 25% and 75% prediction levels, and the dots are outliers. Yes, someone predicted Framber Valdez to get a $40M deal. I think that person is likely to be off by a large amount. But who knows? Maybe he’ll sign a one-year, $40M deal and the rest of us will look silly.

Settle in, it’s a long offseason. But at least we have this contest to distract us.

I’ll send an update after the first free agent on our list signs.

Future meetings

We’re scheduled to meet at 1 p.m. Sunday, Dec. 14, at County Line on the Lake (5204 FM 2222, Austin) which was the site of the initial meeting of what has become the SABR Rogers Hornsby Chapter. In fact, this meeting will come five days after the 22nd anniversary of the very first meeting. A call for RSVPs will go out on our Google Group email list and on this website in early December.

As mentioned above, the Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting, which will feature executives with local professional baseball teams, perhaps a former major leaguer and baseball presentations, will take place on Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026, at Texas State University in San Marcos. Save the date for a fun and full day of baseball chatter. More details to come next month as we finalize the schedule.

Seeing SABR friends in a new place for our November meeting

Well, that was an entertaining World Series, coming to a memorable crescendo last night. Either you’re celebrating a Dodger win – the first NL repeat champion in nearly 50 years – or, you’re in the Matchbox Twenty camp: “We kept this hat of broken dreams / And we pulled them out, when we needed them around.” 

Hope’s embers for many of us still burn in places like the Arizona Fall League, which is midway through its season. (Featured photo credit: Megan Mendoza, Arizona Republic.) AFL players will more than likely be on major league rosters soon. It’s a unique experience if you get a chance to see a game, or even better, go in person with a couple of hundred people in the stands. 

Closer to home, congrats to Jerry Miller for his Dodger-fueled domination in the Postseason contest. Ryan is soliciting participants for the 2025-2026 installment of Contractatron; those entries are due via online ballot on November 5th.  Jim is also feverishly tallying the final results for this year’s Predictatron. 

We’ll be gathering in a new-to-most-of-us place for our November meeting – the aptly named Cover 3 restaurant on Anderson Lane (just south of the MoPac – 183 interchange). Per usual, we’ve put up a digital RSVP form to help secure a reservation for our group – please join us there on Sunday, November 16, at 1pm.

RSVP November 2025 Meeting – Cover 3 Anderson Lane

We’d like to hear from you via that form by Wednesday, November 12th. Thanks to Ryan for help in selecting this location and finalizing the reservation when we get an accurate headcount. In the meantime, have a joyous November!

 

 

World Series gem, LA v. Toronto quiz, delicious sliders and desserts fill annual watch party

October 2025 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

A baker’s dozen gathered at Jim Baker’s house on Saturday for our annual World Series Watch Party and watched Dodgers ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto shut down the Blue Jays, retiring the last 20 consecutive batters and evening the series at one game apiece.

By tradition since 2011, Jim Baker generously provided pork sliders, sides, dessert and beverages for the watch party with delicious dessert additions by Linda Cely and Raeanne Martinez.

In the middle innings, quizmaster Jerry Miller treated us to a trivia contest focusing on players who were born or grew up in either the Greater Los Angeles area or Canada.

The room grew as quiet as Rogers Centre as Yamamoto continued to deal. Unlike the Blue Jays sluggers, four contestants made some noise. Tom Thayer took the contest with 17 points, followed by Ryan Pollack (14), host Jim Baker (13) and Ira Siegel (12).

Miller presented book prizes to the top three finishers.

Tom Thayer (middle) took top honors on the quiz, followed by Ryan Pollack (right) and Jim Baker (left).

 

Take your swing at Jerry’s Los Angeles v. Toronto quiz. Answers follow at the bottom of the document.

As for the 5-1 Dodgers victory, Cy Morong shared on the chapter email list that Yamamoto’s game score was an 83, the highest in a World Series game since Madison Bumgarner’s 87 game score in a 5-0 Giants victory over the Royals in 2014. Cy also shared the list of highest game scores in the World Series on statheadbaseball.com.

Many thanks to Jim for his generosity and for opening his home to host the watch party, to Linda and Raeanne for adding to the dessert spread, to Jerry for his worldly trivia quiz, and to everyone able to join us!

Post-season Predictatron update: It’s Miller vs. Martinez!

By Jim Baker

With all but two teams cleared off the board, we’ve come to just two possibilities for the winner of the 2025 Hornsby Chapter Postseason Tourney. It’s pretty simple:

If the Dodgers win the World Series, Jerry Miller is the champion.

If the Blue Jays win the World Series, then Gilbert Martinez claims the trophy.

Unless…

There is one slight chance that they could be co-champions. If the Blue Jays sweep the Series, Gilbert will lose two points and drop down into a 24-24 tie with Jerry. Since they both predicted 36 games for the postseason, there would be no way to break the tie and, as is written, the trophy will be sawed in half at the January meeting. [Editor’s note: With the Dodgers winning Game 2, this possibility, as intriguing as it might seem, is now off the table.]

One thing worth noting is that, while nobody broke the magic 40-point threshold this year, just about everybody is going to finish with a positive score. That doesn’t happen very often, so bully for us!

Full-season Predictatron update

Jim Baker shared that the full-season Predictatron contest also hinges on the outcome of the World Series. The winner of this prestigious contest (in which prognosticators committed to their picks in March!) and the winners of their respective divisions will all be announced at the November chapter meeting on Nov. 16 (meeting details below).

Trophy presentations for both the full-season and postseason Predictatron contests will occur at the 20th Annual Hornsby Chapter Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting on Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026, at Texas State University. Make your plans to be there!

Announcing: Contractatron!

By Ryan Pollack

 STEP RIGHT UP, FOLKS! 

Gather ’round, ladies and gentlemen, and feast your eyes on the most thrilling, the most dazzling, the most sensational contest of the baseball offseason – IT’S THE CONTRACTATRON! 

Yes, sir, yes, ma’am, it’s your chance to outguess the experts, outwit the wise guys, and predict the biggest free-agent contracts in all the land! Can you forecast how many of those glorious greenbacks the mightiest ballplayers in the world will land? Well, step right up and test your wits in this rip-roarin’, high-flyin’ extravaganza!

Make your predictions here!

 CONTEST BEGINS WHEN?! 
Ballots are open! Your entries are due at high noon CST on November 5th – that’s right, folks, don’t delay, don’t dilly-dally! If a player signs before this time, poof! They’re gone from the contest! And we’ll keep the good times rollin’ right up until 9 AM CST on Opening Day of the U.S.-based season! Any signings that happen after that? Why, they’re as good as erased! Overseas MLB games? Japan, Korea, Australia? Bah! They don’t count for this here contest!

 HOW DO YA PLAY, YA ASK? 

  1. PICK YOUR PLAYERS and predict their contracts with your finest crystal-ball skills!
  2. SCORIN’ IS SIMPLE! We’ll judge ya on how close you can get to the real deal! The closer you are, the lower and better your score – it’s as easy as pie! We measure the difference as a percentage of the actual contract, and the smaller the number, the better!

EXAMPLES, YOU SAY?

  • You guess Charles Johnson will get $500M, but he only gets $300M. That’s a 66% score!
  • You guess Frank Smith will get $5M, but he ends up with $6M. That’s a 25% score!
  • Average ‘em out and ya get a grand total of 45.5%! Ain’t that somethin’?!
  1. TIE-BREAKERS?! If it’s neck and neck, we’ll settle it the old-fashioned way: whoever guessed first wins! It’s all about timing, folks!

 RULES AND REGULATIONS, NOW DON’T FORGET ‘EM! 

  • ONLY THE GUARANTEED BUCKS COUNT! We’re talkin’ cold, hard cash, no incentives, no options, no escalators – and certainly no conditional salaries!
  • MAJOR LEAGUE MONEY ONLY! None of that minor league mumbo-jumbo here!
  • QUALIFYIN’ OFFERS ARE FAIR GAME! If a player accepts one, it counts!
  • AND IF THEY DON’T HIT FREE AGENCY? Why, then we never heard of ‘em! Gone, forgotten, erased!
  • NO EXTENSIONS ALLOWED! It’s free agency or bust, folks!

So, step right up! Roll up your sleeves, sharpen those pencils, and let’s see who’s got the sharpest mind in the land when it comes to predictin’ those big money contracts! It’s the Contractatron, folks – the contest that’ll have ya on the edge of your seat all winter long! 

Don’t dilly dally! Make your predictions today! Again, the deadline is at high noon CST on Nov. 5th!

Shared birthdays

It just so happens that your chapter commissioner shares a birthday (Oct. 20) with two members of the Baseball Hall of Fame and two MVP winners: Mickey Mantle with 110.3 WAR, Juan Marichal with 62.87 WAR (turned 88), Keith Hernandez with 60.4 WAR (turned 72) and Juan Gonzalez with 38.7 WAR (turned 56). Cap tip to Cy for letting me know!

Want to check to see which ballplayers share your birthday? See if you can top 272.27 WAR! Here’s the link to Baseball Reference. Just enter the date and then sort by WAR and other categories: https://www.baseball-reference.com/friv/birthdays.cgi?month=1&day=1

Next meeting

The November meeting will be at 1 p.m. Sunday, Nov. 16, at Cover 3 (2700 Anderson Lane, Austin). We’ll post a meeting announcement and request RSVPs at the beginning of November, and we’ll make a reservation for the group.

 

A sudden influx of pitching could make for a wild 2025 Watch Party

Just when it looked like the Yankees might ride the Schlittler-bahn all the way to the World Series, the Blue Jays counter with a Ye-savage outing of their own. It’s remarkable that guys with basically a month’s worth of MLB starting experience can come in and make such an immediate impact in the postseason. (But maybe not surprising – live arms, not much of a book or video on them.)

Who’s going to survive this gauntlet and make it to the World Series? Who will we be watching on Saturday, October 25th, in Game 2? It’s October and anything can happen, but we do know one thing – many of us will be gathered at Jim Baker’s house for the annual Hornsby Watch Party. The festivities begin at 6 p.m., and as is customary, Jim is generously supplying the food and soft drinks, BYOB optional.

To help Jim gauge how much sustenance to procure, and to help you find your way to his house, we’re opening a digital RSVP form. It has a map to tell you roughly where you’ll be headed, and if you haven’t been there or need your memory refreshed, check the box and I’ll send a follow-up email with Jim’s address (not automatically when you submit the form, but well before the party, your patience is appreciated).

RSVP – 2025 Hornsby Watch Party

We’ll keep the form open until Wednesday, October 22. Until then, kick back and enjoy the division and league championship rounds. We’ll look forward to seeing Hornsby members and guests on the 25th!

Late-season suspense, post-season berths and awards talk fill September meeting with fries and wings on the side

September 2025 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

A dozen chapters members and guests gathered on Saturday to ponder the tightening races for spots in MLB’s postseason (some were more enthused than others) and the potential MVP in each league.

Over lunch at Hurricane Grill & Wings in Round Rock, we marveled at the unreal winning streak by Tom Wancho’s Cleveland Guardians and wondered if the Seattle Mariners’ time has come to overtake the Martinezes’ Houston Astros.

We also talked about New York Yankees slugger Aaron Judge’s substantial lead by WAR over the Mariners’ Cal Raleigh. Some thought that Judge, by the numbers, should be the AL MVP, but others thought that Raleigh is the better story that might attract votes from baseball sportswriters. We won’t know until November when the baseball awards are announced. Stay tuned!

Before we find out about the awards, we have a week left in the season and the World Series Watch Party next month to look forward to! As is our long tradition, chapter member Jim Baker will host the watch party. It will be the evening of Saturday, Oct. 25. We know that it will be World Series Game 2, but it’s anyone’s guess as to who will battle for the championship. Speaking of guesses, see the Predictatron update below from Jim Baker to see how our group of prognosticators are doing with a week left!

We’ll announce the meeting in early October and call for RSVPs later in the month. In the meantime, save the date for one of the chapter’s most anticipated meetings of the year!

Chapter member and winter meeting coordinator Jerry Miller attended lunch honoring the late Robert Redford with the New Yorks Knights cap and shirt featured in “The Natural.”

Cubaball in November
By Monte Cely

Cubaball is back and heading to Havana in November.  There are a few seats left on the tour and if you’ve ever dreamed of seeing baseball and the many wonders of the “Pearl of the Antilles,” now’s your chance.  

Fellow SABR member Kit Krieger is again leading the popular Cubaball journey, the first since the pandemic.  The tour runs November 14-21.  You’ll stay at a private hotel in Havana and take in béisbol cubano in Havana (2 games), Matanzas, Pinar del Rio, and Artemisa.

Cubaball is very popular among SABR members, and I went on the tour in 2017.  I can say that it’s a great experience and a unique baseball journey that you’ll never forget!

For more information, email Kit Krieger at ejkrieger@shaw.ca – or contact me at cely@swbell.net and I’ll forward your inquiry to Kit.


Predictatron Update: Topmost Turvy!

By Jim Baker

With but a single week to go in the season, we’ve got ourselves a case of the upheavals in both divisions and for the very control of this contest! Mr. Harrell has reasserted himself as the leader of these proceedings after posting one of the better performances this week while previous pacesetter Ms. Martinez was experiencing a negative week. Meanwhile, in the Brian Rogers Division, Mr. Martinez has surged to the lead on the back of a nine-point outpouring of pointly goodness.

As we head into the final turn, here’s how the top five look:

809 Mike Harrell
800 Raeanne Martinez
797 Gilbert Martinez
794 Ryan Pollack
793 Bob Windham

Our Player of the Week is Mr. Dillon who led the way with 13 points. This afforded him a two-place jump in the Eric Robinson Division. Our best weeks look like this:

13 Mike Dillon
12 Mike Harrell
12 Tom Wancho
10 Michael Bass
 9 Gilbert Martinez, Jerry Miller

We now have four pursuers in single digits out of first in the Brian Rogers Division and the final week is going to prove pivotal in the outcome of that particular argument.

As you can see from the playoff grid now affixed to the standings, only six players still have their full load of potential playoff points. They are:

Tom Wancho
Don Dingee
John Rechtorovic
Mike Harrell
Raeanne Martinez
Jerry Miller

Buckle up, batten down the hatches and brace yourself for a wild finish to the regular season portion of the 2025 Hornsby Chapter Predictatron!

Through games of Sunday, September 21, or 96.3 percent of the 2025 season:

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

Last

^/v

prev

move

alcs

alcs

nlcs

nlcs

alws

nlws

champ

Pot

1

Gilbert Martinez

797

 

788

9

3

2

BAL

HOU

PHI

LAD

HOU

PHI

HOU

44

2

Ryan Pollack

794

3

797

-3

1

-1

BOS

HOU

ATL

LAD

BOS

LAD

LAD

44

3

Jim Baker

792

5

790

2

2

-1

BAL

NYY

PHI

LAD

BAL

LAD

BAL

20

4

Tom Wancho

791

6

779

12

6

2

BOS

NYY

LAD

SDP

BOS

LAD

LAD

48

5

Scott Gay

789

8

786

3

4

-1

BAL

NYY

PHIL

LAD

BAL

LAD

LAD

36

6

Team Hall

781

16

780

1

5

-1

BAL

BOS

ATL

LAD

BAL

ATL

BAL

8

7

Brian Rogers

777

20

776

1

8

1

BAL

HOU

ATL

LAD

BAL

ATL

ATL

8

8

Don Dingee

776

21

773

3

9

1

BOS

SEA

NYM

LAD

BOS

NYM

BOS

48

9

Kevin Barnes

775

22

778

-3

7

-2

NYY

TEX

PHI

LAD

TEX

PHI

TEX

20

10

John Rechtorovic

752

45

745

7

10

0

BOS

NYY

NYM

LAD

NYY

NYM

NYY

48

11

Mike McNulty

749

48

742

7

11

0

BOS

TEX

ATL

LAD

TEX

ATL

ATL

8

12

Syd Polk

714

83

714

0

12

0

BAL

TEX

ATL

LAD

TEX

ATL

TEX

4

 

PLAYER

Points

PB

Last

^/v

prev

move

alcs

alcs

nlcs

nlcs

alws

nlws

champ

Pot

1

Mike Harrell

809

 

797

12

2

1

BOS

DET

PHI

LAD

BOS

LAD

LAD

48

2

Raeanne Martinez

800

9

805

-5

1

-1

BOS

HOU

CHC

LAD

HOU

CHC

HOU

48

3

Bob Windham

793

16

789

4

3

0

BOS

NYY

ATL

LAD

DET

LAD

LAD

44

4

Jerry Miller

786

23

777

9

8

4

BOS

SEA

ARI

LAD

SEA

LAD

LAD

48

5

Eric Robinson

785

24

780

5

7

2

BAL

TEX

ATL

LAD

BAL

LAD

LAD

28

6

Gary McIntosh

781

28

782

-1

5

-1

BAL

DET

PHI

LAD

DET

LAD

LAD

44

7

Dan Walsh

777

32

785

-8

4

-3

BAL

HOU

ATL

LAD

BAL

LAD

LAD

32

7

Ira Siegel

777

32

771

6

10

3

NYY

KCR

MIL

LAD

NYY

LAD

NYY

44

9

Mike Dillon*

775

34

762

13

11

2

BOS

NYY

ATL

LAD

NYY

LAD

NYY

44

10

Frank Rechtorovic

774

35

775

-1

9

-1

NYY

TEX

ATL

LAD

LAD

NYY

NYY

40

10

Chris Crombar

774

35

782

-8

5

-5

BAL

TEX

ATL

LAD

TEX

LAD

LAD

28

12

Jan Larson

757

52

761

-4

12

0

BAL

SEA

PHI

LAD

BAL

LAD

LAD

36

13

Michael Bass

702

107

692

10

13

0

BAL

SEA

PHI

LAD

BAL

LAD

BAL

20

 

*Player of the Week

         

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Colorado Rockies evade a dubious honor

Some of us have been watching the Rockies’ serious attempt to top the Chicago White Sox for most losses in a season, achieved just last year. Jan Larson shared on our Google group email list when the Rockies saved themselves on Sept. 19.

“The Rockies won their 42nd game of the season this evening and have thereby mathematically eliminated themselves from any chances of breaking the 2024 White Sox modern Major League Baseball record for most losses in a season.  The Sox continue to hold that record with 121 losses having wrested that title from the ’62 Mets.”

SABR Rocky Mountain Chapter member and friend to the Hornsby Chapter Peter Myers, who just finished his third year as an usher at Coors Field, responded, “And I was there to experience the joy.”

Upcoming meetings

As mentioned above, the October meeting will be the World Series Watch Party for Game 2 on Saturday, Oct. 25, at Jim Baker’s home in Cedar Park.

For the November meeting, we’ll meet for lunch at Cover 3 on Anderson Lane in Central Austin on Sunday, Nov. 16.

We haven’t set the date yet for the December meeting, but we’re planning a mid-month lunch meeting at County Line on the Lake. Details will be forthcoming soon.

September lunch meeting on the 20th and a second option farther south

First, a belated Happy Labor Day to all, I hope you fared better than Jordan Hudson’s boyfriend (way to go, TCU, and yes, please, ESPN, let Peter do more of blowout broadcasts). In other chapter news, we’re thinking of Bailey Hall (and mom and dad) as she has officially begun her adventure as a Badger in Madison.

Five months of the MLB season are in the books, and right now the Brewers and Tigers look to have things in hand for the postseason. The rest of the field remains competitive, with the Mets holding the final spot in the NL over the Reds and Giants, and the Mariners with a slimmer margin in the AL over the Rangers and Royals. As many point out, it’s not a pennant race anymore, but a scrum to get into the field and see what happens.

Jim Baker reminds us that the Hornsby Postseason Tourney is coming up, open to all in the chapter, not just Predictatron participants. Jim’s contest deftly sidesteps the Wild Card chaos and opens with the known Division Series opponents.

We’re embarking on an experiment in the coming weeks, offering two options for lunch – members and guests are welcome to attend either or both dates.

  • We’ll be back at the Hurricane Grill & Wings (2701 Parker Drive, D-200, Round Rock) on Saturday, September 20th at 1 pm. For a group our size, we make reservations with the restaurant, so we’ve opened a mobile-friendly RSVP form for you to let us know you’ll be there and how many folks are with you.
  • We’ll also be in San Antonio soon – I’m looking at Saturday, October 4th at Willie’s Grill & Ice House in Schertz, and will announce that via the Google Group when we get closer to that date.

Here’s the link to RSVP for the 20th in Round Rock. Please let us know by Wednesday, September 17th if you’ll be there.

Book author recounts best, unlikeliest no-hitters at August meeting

August 2025 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

Thirteen chapter members and guests were treated to a deep dive about the pitchers who have thrown no-hitters and the catchers who caught them throughout MLB history at the August chapter meeting on Zoom.

Kevin Hurd, a member of the SABR Banks-Bragan Chapter in Dallas-Fort Worth and retired U.S. Air Force lieutenant colonel, has long been intrigued by no-hitters. In fact, as a high school senior, he witnessed San Francisco Giants pitcher Ed Halicki’s no-hitter at Candlestick Park in 1975, which, in part, inspired him to research and write about no-hit games.

After retirement, he’s devoted four years to writing and publishing two volumes called “From Randy Johnson to Dallas Braden: No Hitters Beyond the Box Score.” His books addressed things he was curious about, such as whether no-hitters were attributable to skill or luck (his conclusion: both). He was also interested in examining no-hitters by eventual Hall of Fame pitchers and journeymen who were among the unlikeliest pitchers to author a no-hit gem.

His book includes descriptions of no-hit games, interviews with pitchers and catchers and informational tables to offer insight into these games.

In Volume I, he assesses the greatest no-hitters in history. In Volume II, he identifies the most unlikely no-hitters of all time.

For the Hornsby Chapter, he included a brief discussion and lists of no-hitters by Astros and Rangers pitchers.

See below for a recording of his presentation:

Hurd’s books are available at local bookstores and online sellers. For more information about Volume I: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DHYHBQ5W

For more information about Volume II: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DHYP3J46

Many thanks to Kevin for joining us for our August meeting!

Baseball memories program seeks volunteers, baseball props for sessions

By Larry Rice

Fellow SABR Members,

Do you have any old baseball gear or equipment sitting idle in your garage or attic?  Do you enjoy browsing at garage sales, yard sales or estate sales?

As you may be aware, several Hornsby Chapter members are associated with the SABR Baseball Memories program and, in particular, I volunteer with other Hornsby Chapter members to provide monthly presentations and visits to veterans with long-term mental and physical disabilities at the VA facilities in Kerrville and San Antonio (Audie Murphy).  These visits are very enjoyable and therapeutic to both volunteers and patients.

For use in these presentations, I’m interested in obtaining some used (as in low/no cost) baseball gear to use as “show and tell” items.  Letting these vets hold, grip, touch and see some of these items can be powerful memory motivators and bring back thoughts and joys of a simpler, happier time in their lives and – if able – they usually want to tell you all about it, a great way to gain some social interaction.

If you have or obtain any such items that you would be willing to donate and think I might be interested in, feel free to contact me at ukisno1@gmail.com.  I’ll be out of the country until mid-August and still putting thoughts together about the fall programs, so there’s no immediate rush; I just wanted to make you aware of this opportunity.

Speaking of opportunities, there’s also plenty of opportunity to participate in the visits as well.  If you live in the Kerrville/San Antonio and surrounding areas and wish more information, just let me know at the email address above and I’ll be glad to send you more information.

Next meeting: Sept. 20

Join us for the next monthly chapter meeting at 1 p.m. Saturday, Sept. 20, at Hurricane Grill & Wings (2701 Parker Dr. in Round Rock).

Looking ahead, please save Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026, for the 20th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting! We’re planning another fun day of baseball chatter at Texas State University.

August virtual meeting examines no-hitters with author Kevin Hurd

We’ve made it past the trade deadline of the 2025 season, and our favorite teams fall somewhere on the spectrum of buying with both hands, filling one or two specific needs, standing pat or close to it, or tossing in the towel. And I’m still recovering from last night’s gigantic WHEEEEEE the Rockies put on the Pirates, a flashback to late-inning (and some earlier-inning) Coors Field magic of seasons past.

Which brings us to this month’s meeting, a virtual Zoom affair featuring author Kevin Hurd. On August 24, 1975, Ed Halicki spun a no-hitter pitching for the Giants at home against the Mets. Halicki, with a lifetime record of 55-66, is proof that no-hitters do not always come from elite pitchers – and that got a young Hurd, who was in the stands at Candlestick that day, thinking about the accomplishment.

After retiring from a 20-year career in the USAF as a navigator on RC-135s and KC-135s, his interest in the lore rekindled in 2014 with no-hitter feats from Tim Lincecum and Clayton Kershaw. Finally, in March 2020, with a pandemic just starting and his security job at the Western Currency Facility in Fort Worth just ending, a friend suggested turning his passion for no-hitters into a book. The result is a two-volume effort titled “From Randy Johnson to Dallas Braden: No-Hitters Beyond the Box Score,” available on Amazon.

Hurd documents 23 no-hitters with a unique perspective, looking at what went on around each game with first-hand accounts from many people who made baseball history. A twist to Hurd’s work is that he interviews not only the pitchers who accomplished the feat, but also others, including the catcher behind the plate. (I’ll be curious to see if Hurd talked to our old friend Robby Hammock, who my daughter got to know a bit as manager of the Missoula Osprey in 2013.)

Chapter commissioner Gilbert Martinez will interview Kevin Hurd live, and the event promises to be a WHEEEEEE for the Hornsby Chapter and our SABR friends around the country. We hope you can join us online on Saturday, August 9, starting at 2 p.m. CDT. Register for the Zoom at the following link. See you there!

SABR Hornsby Chapter – August 2025 Meeting